Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Celta de Vigo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Rayo Vallecano won it

The opening goal came in the 36th minute: Jorge de Frutos for Rayo Vallecano, set up by Sergio Camello. Jorge de Frutos made it 2-0 to Rayo Vallecano in the 55th minute, set up by Andrei Rațiu. Unai López made it 3-0 to Rayo Vallecano in the 73rd minute, set up by Gnangoro.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

Jorge de Frutos scored twice.

The referee, M. Orellana Cid, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Rayo Vallecano and 1 to Celta de Vigo.

Rayo Vallecano: B. San José Gil, 4-3-3 · Celta de Vigo: C. Giráldez González, 3-4-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Rayo Vallecano -0.25, and on 3-0 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Rayo Vallecano win at 41%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.5 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 45%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Rayo Vallecano win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.35 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.12 for Celta de Vigo.

Rayo Vallecano scored about 1.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Celta de Vigo left about 1.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Rayo Vallecano had 8 shots on target, Celta de Vigo 0.

Celta de Vigo's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Rayo Vallecano had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Rayo Vallecano came into it with 11 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.33 expected goals for and 1.77 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Celta de Vigo came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.16 against, and had won 17% of their matches.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jorge de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Rayo Vallecano

• Jorge de Frutos 8.7 2 goals
• Unai López 7.6 1 goal
• Florian Lejeune 7.6
• Andrei Rațiu 7.5 1 assist
• Pedro Díaz 7.5

Celta de Vigo

• Ionuț Radu 7.2
• Javi Rueda 6.8
• Ferran Jutglà 6.7
• Iago Aspas 6.7
• Javi Galán 6.6

The lowest-rated starter was Ilaix Moriba at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Rayo Vallecano: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga
• Celta de Vigo: Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo

What was the score in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo?

Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Celta de Vigo (half-time 1-0), La Liga, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo?

Jorge de Frutos 36', Jorge de Frutos 55', Unai López 73'.

Did Moneyball predict Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Rayo Vallecano -0.25, and on 3-0 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo?

Jorge de Frutos, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo?

M. Orellana Cid.