Racing Santander 0-3 Real Madrid: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
La Liga Matchday 11 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander · referee J. Munuera Montero · full time
Full time: Racing Santander 0-3 Real Madrid
Racing Santander 0-3 Real Madrid: Real Madrid took the points in La Liga Matchday 11 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero. The goals: Kylian Mbappé 11', Jude Bellingham 21', Yan Diomande 36'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Real Madrid won it
Real Madrid struck first through Kylian Mbappé from the penalty spot in the 11th minute. Jude Bellingham made it 0-2 to Real Madrid in the 21st minute, set up by Arda Güler. Yan Diomande made it 0-3 to Real Madrid in the 36th minute.
It was 0-3 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, J. Munuera Montero, showed 2 yellow cards: 2 to Racing Santander and 0 to Real Madrid.
Racing Santander: J. López Menéndez, 4-2-3-1 · Real Madrid: José Mourinho, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Real Madrid -2.00, and 0-3 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Real Madrid win at 76%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-3 (8%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 4.4 and the match produced three.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 78%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 67%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Real Madrid win at 75%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.61 for Racing Santander and 1.43 for Real Madrid.
Racing Santander scored about 2.6 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Real Madrid made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.6 goals.
Racing Santander created the better chances, 2.61 xG to 1.43, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Real Madrid to create more, and Racing Santander did.
Racing Santander had 1 shot on target, Real Madrid 7.
Racing Santander's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Real Madrid had 54% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Racing Santander came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 1.38 expected goals for and 2.18 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Real Madrid came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 2.6 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 2.18 expected goals for and 1.15 against, and had won 83% of their matches.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: the match in numbers
| Racing Santander | Match statistics | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Ball possession | 54% |
| 2.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.43 |
| 10 | Total shots | 22 |
| 1 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 1 | Big chances | 5 |
| 458 | Total passes | 529 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 11 | Tackles | 17 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Racing Santander
- Pedro Felipe 7.2
- Julen Agirrezabala 7.0
- Íñigo Sainz-Maza 6.8
- Iván Martín 6.8
- Pablo García Fernández 6.6
Real Madrid
- Jude Bellingham 8.6 1 goal
- Kylian Mbappé 8.6 1 goal
- Arda Güler 8.6 1 assist
- Dean Huijsen 7.9
- Yan Diomande 7.8 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Jeanuël Belocian at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Racing Santander: Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga
- Real Madrid: Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Racing Santander vs Real Madrid
What was the score in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Racing Santander 0-3 Real Madrid (half-time 0-3), La Liga, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Kylian Mbappé 11', Jude Bellingham 21', Yan Diomande 36'.
Did Moneyball predict Racing Santander vs Real Madrid correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Real Madrid -2.00, and 0-3 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Jude Bellingham, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
J. Munuera Montero.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.