PSV 7-0 Willem II: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Eredivisie Matchday 11 · Saturday 31 October 2026 · Philips Stadion, Eindhoven · referee D. Makkelie · full time
Full time: PSV 7-0 Willem II
PSV beat Willem II 7-0 in Eredivisie Matchday 11 on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Philips Stadion. The goals: Mauro Júnior 20', Guus Til 44', Sven Mijnans 50', Ruben van Bommel 53', Ricardo Pepi 73', Kodai Sano 77', Shuryjano Cornecion 81'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How PSV won it
Mauro Júnior put PSV ahead in the 20th minute. Guus Til made it 2-0 to PSV in the 44th minute, set up by Armando Obispo. Sven Mijnans made it 3-0 to PSV in the 50th minute, set up by Sergiño Dest. Ruben van Bommel made it 4-0 to PSV in the 53rd minute, set up by Sven Mijnans. Ricardo Pepi made it 5-0 to PSV in the 73rd minute, set up by Esmir Bajraktarevic. Kodai Sano made it 6-0 to PSV in the 77th minute, set up by Ricardo Pepi. Shuryjano Cornecion made it 7-0 to PSV in the 81st minute.
It was 2-0 at half-time.
The referee, D. Makkelie, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to PSV and 2 to Willem II.
PSV: P. Bosz, 3-4-1-2 · Willem II: J. Streppel, 4-4-1-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A PSV win was the estimate's call at 83%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 3-1 was the likeliest, 7-0 the real one.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 4.4 goals and there were 7.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 81%; with 7 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.76 for PSV and 2.40 for Willem II.
PSV scored about 6.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Willem II left about 2.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Willem II created the better chances, 2.40 xG to 0.76, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected PSV to create more, and Willem II did.
PSV had 9 shots on target, Willem II 1.
PSV had 70% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
PSV came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 3.3 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 2.41 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 67% of their matches.
Willem II came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 3.3 a match, with 1.29 expected goals for and 2.11 against, and had won 0% of their matches.
PSV vs Willem II: the match in numbers
| PSV | Match statistics | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| 70% | Ball possession | 30% |
| 0.76 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.40 |
| 20 | Total shots | 4 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 7 | Big chances | 1 |
| 691 | Total passes | 305 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 70% |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 4 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 14 | Tackles | 12 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Sven Mijnans (PSV), rated 9.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
PSV
- Sven Mijnans 9.2 1 goal, 1 assist
- Ricardo Pepi 8.2 1 goal, 1 assist
- Ruben van Bommel 8.2 1 goal
- Kodai Sano 7.8 1 goal
- Mauro Júnior 7.8 1 goal
Willem II
- Devin Haen 6.5
- Vito van Crooij 6.5
- Tonny Vilhena 6.5
- Alessandro Ciranni 6.3
- Amine Et-Taïbi 6.3
The lowest-rated starter was Mats Lemmens at 4.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- PSV: NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Saturday 21 November 2026 · Eredivisie
- Willem II: FC Twente vs Willem II Sunday 22 November 2026 · Eredivisie
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about PSV vs Willem II
What was the score in PSV vs Willem II?
PSV 7-0 Willem II (half-time 2-0), Eredivisie, Saturday 31 October 2026.
Who scored in PSV vs Willem II?
Mauro Júnior 20', Guus Til 44', Sven Mijnans 50', Ruben van Bommel 53', Ricardo Pepi 73', Kodai Sano 77', Shuryjano Cornecion 81'.
Did Moneyball predict PSV vs Willem II correctly?
A PSV win was the estimate's call at 83%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 3-1 was the likeliest, 7-0 the real one.
Who was man of the match in PSV vs Willem II?
Sven Mijnans, rated 9.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed PSV vs Willem II?
D. Makkelie.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.