Preston North End 1-0 Southampton: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Preston North End won it

Preston North End struck first through Jordan Thompson in the 33rd minute.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, T. Nield, showed 5 yellow cards: 5 to Preston North End and 0 to Southampton.

Preston North End: G. Alexander, 3-4-3 · Southampton: T. Eckert, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 2.75, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Southampton win at 55%; a Preston North End win, at 21%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.9 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Southampton win at 58%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.05 for Preston North End and 1.29 for Southampton.

Preston North End scored about 1.0 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Southampton left about 1.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Southampton to create more, and Preston North End did.

Preston North End had 2 shots on target, Southampton 8.

Preston North End's goalkeeper made 8 saves.

Southampton had 78% of the ball, but Preston North End took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Preston North End came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.13 expected goals for and 1.73 against, and had won 13% of their matches.

Southampton came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.74 expected goals for and 1.53 against, and had won 53% of their matches.

Preston North End vs Southampton: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Lee Nicholls (Preston North End), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.

Preston North End

• Lee Nicholls 8.9
• Jordan Thompson 7.7 1 goal
• Liam Lindsay 7.6
• A. Moran 7.1
• Thierry Small 6.9

Southampton

• Finn Azaz 7.8
• James Ward-Prowse 7.8
• Jack Stephens 7.6
• Léo Scienza 7.5
• Flynn Downes 7.3

The lowest-rated starter was Keven Schlotterbeck at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Preston North End: West Ham United vs Preston North End Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
• Southampton: Southampton vs Derby County Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Preston North End vs Southampton

What was the score in Preston North End vs Southampton?

Preston North End 1-0 Southampton (half-time 1-0), Championship, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Preston North End vs Southampton?

Jordan Thompson 33'.

Did Moneyball predict Preston North End vs Southampton correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 2.75, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Preston North End vs Southampton?

Lee Nicholls, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Preston North End vs Southampton?

T. Nield.