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Porto 4-1 Napoli: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Porto 4-1 Napoli

Porto won 4-1 at home to Napoli in Champions League Matchday 4 on Wednesday 4 November 2026. The goals: Jan Bednarek 11', Scott McTominay 43', Gabri Veiga 71', Jakub Kiwior 80', Samu Aghehowa 90'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Porto won it

Jan Bednarek put Porto ahead in the 11th minute, set up by Gabri Veiga. Napoli levelled at 1-1 in the 43rd minute through Scott McTominay, set up by Rasmus Højlund. Gabri Veiga made it 2-1 to Porto in the 71st minute, set up by Santiago Gimenez. Jakub Kiwior made it 3-1 to Porto in the 80th minute, set up by In-beom Hwang. Samu Aghehowa from the penalty spot made it 4-1 to Porto in the 90th minute.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Rafa Marín of Napoli was sent off in the 88th minute. The referee, M. Oliver, showed 5 yellow cards: 1 to Porto and 4 to Napoli.

Porto: F. Farioli, 4-3-3 · Napoli: M. Allegri, 3-5-1-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Napoli +0.25, and on 4-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Porto win at 48%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.1 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 61%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Porto win at 44%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Porto had 8 shots on target, Napoli 6.

Porto's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Porto had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Porto came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.46 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Napoli came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.8 a match, with 1.44 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Porto vs Napoli: the match in numbers

PortoMatch statisticsNapoli
51%Ball possession49%
19Total shots11
8Shots on target6
4Big chances2
517Total passes485
86%Pass accuracy83%
5Corners5
8Fouls11
4Offsides3
15Tackles13
5Saves4
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Gabri Veiga (Porto), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Porto

Napoli

The lowest-rated starter was Amir Rrahmani at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Porto vs Napoli

What was the score in Porto vs Napoli?

Porto 4-1 Napoli (half-time 1-1), Champions League, Wednesday 4 November 2026.

Who scored in Porto vs Napoli?

Jan Bednarek 11', Scott McTominay 43', Gabri Veiga 71', Jakub Kiwior 80', Samu Aghehowa 90'.

Did Moneyball predict Porto vs Napoli correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Napoli +0.25, and on 4-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Porto vs Napoli?

Gabri Veiga, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Porto vs Napoli?

M. Oliver.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.