Porto 4-0 Estoril: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Porto won it

Porto struck first through Victor Froholdt in the 4th minute, set up by Pepê. Borja Sainz made it 2-0 to Porto in the 64th minute, set up by Gabri Veiga. André Silva made it 3-0 to Porto in the 70th minute. Gabri Veiga made it 4-0 to Porto in the 73rd minute, set up by Borja Sainz.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, M. Bertolo Nogueira, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Porto and 0 to Estoril.

Porto: F. Farioli, 4-3-3 · Estoril: S. M.M. Raimundo, 4-5-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Porto win the most likely outcome at 78%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 3-0 rather than 4-0.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 41%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.00 for Porto and 3.38 for Estoril.

Porto scored about 3.0 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Estoril left about 3.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Estoril created the better chances, 3.38 xG to 1.00, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Porto to create more, and Estoril did.

Porto had 11 shots on target, Estoril 0.

Estoril's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Porto had 66% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Porto came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 2.26 expected goals for and 0.93 against, and had won 100% of their matches.

Estoril came into it with 10 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.66 against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Porto vs Estoril: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Gabri Veiga (Porto), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Porto

• Gabri Veiga 9.0 1 goal, 1 assist
• Borja Sainz 8.3 1 goal, 1 assist
• Jan Bednarek 7.7
• Alberto Costa 7.7
• Jakub Kiwior 7.6

Estoril

• Martin Turk 7.2
• Stelios Andreou 7.0
• Jordan Holsgrove 6.7
• Axel Camblan 6.7
• Xavi Sintes 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Pedro Carvalho at 5.6. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Porto: Feyenoord vs Porto Tuesday 24 November 2026 · Champions League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Porto vs Estoril

What was the score in Porto vs Estoril?

Porto 4-0 Estoril (half-time 1-0), Liga Portugal, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Porto vs Estoril?

Victor Froholdt 4', Borja Sainz 64', André Silva 70', Gabri Veiga 73'.

Did Moneyball predict Porto vs Estoril correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Porto win the most likely outcome at 78%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 3-0 rather than 4-0.

Who was man of the match in Porto vs Estoril?

Gabri Veiga, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Porto vs Estoril?

M. Bertolo Nogueira.