Paris 3-1 Monaco: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Paris won it

Lassine Sinayoko put Paris ahead in the 38th minute, set up by Maxime Lopez. Lassine Sinayoko made it 2-0 to Paris in the 44th minute, set up by Moses Simon. Folarin Balogun made it 2-1 to Monaco in the 65th minute, set up by Vanderson. Pablo Pagis made it 3-1 to Paris in the 74th minute, set up by Lassine Sinayoko.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Lassine Sinayoko scored twice.

The referee, J. Stinat, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Paris and 2 to Monaco.

Paris: L. Rosenior, 4-2-3-1 · Monaco: F. Kasmirski, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Paris FC 0.00, and 3-1 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Paris win at 46%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.8 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 56%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Paris win at 38%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.14 for Paris and 1.95 for Monaco.

Paris scored about 1.9 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Monaco created the better chances, 1.95 xG to 1.14, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Paris to create more, and Monaco did.

Paris had 10 shots on target, Monaco 2.

Monaco's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Monaco had 56% of the ball, but Paris took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Paris came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 1.06 against, and had won 60% of their matches.

Monaco came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Paris vs Monaco: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Lassine Sinayoko (Paris), rated 9.1 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.

Paris

• Lassine Sinayoko 9.1 2 goals, 1 assist
• Pablo Pagis 8.2 1 goal
• Ilan Kebbal 7.5
• Maxime Lopez 7.4 1 assist
• Pierre Lees-Melou 7.4

Monaco

• Folarin Balogun 7.6 1 goal
• Lukas Hradecky 7.5
• Vanderson 6.8 1 assist
• Takumi Minamino 6.7
• Lamine Camara 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Edan Diop at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Paris: Paris vs Angers SCO Sunday 22 November 2026 · Ligue 1
• Monaco: Monaco vs Auxerre Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Paris vs Monaco

What was the score in Paris vs Monaco?

Paris 3-1 Monaco (half-time 2-0), Ligue 1, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Paris vs Monaco?

Lassine Sinayoko 38', Lassine Sinayoko 44', Folarin Balogun 65', Pablo Pagis 74'.

Did Moneyball predict Paris vs Monaco correctly?

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Paris FC 0.00, and 3-1 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Paris vs Monaco?

Lassine Sinayoko, rated 9.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Paris vs Monaco?

J. Stinat.