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Palmeiras 6-1 Remo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Palmeiras 6-1 Remo

Palmeiras 6-1 Remo: Palmeiras took the points in Brasileirão Matchday 34 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Allianz Parque. The goals: Jhon Arias 4', Jhon Arias 14', Mauricio 21', Zé Welison 45+2', José Manuel López 55', Felipe Anderson 80'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Palmeiras won it

The opening goal came in the 4th minute: Jhon Arias for Palmeiras, set up by Vitor Roque. Jhon Arias made it 2-0 to Palmeiras in the 14th minute, set up by Khellven. Mauricio made it 3-0 to Palmeiras in the 21st minute, set up by Marlon Freitas. An own goal by Marcelinho made it 4-0 to Palmeiras in the 36th minute. Zé Welison made it 4-1 to Remo in the 45th minute (+2). José Manuel López made it 5-1 to Palmeiras in the 55th minute, set up by Khellven. Felipe Anderson made it 6-1 to Palmeiras in the 80th minute, set up by José Manuel López.

It was 4-1 at half-time.

Jhon Arias scored twice.

The referee, W. Pereira Sampaio, showed 4 yellow cards: 0 to Palmeiras and 4 to Remo.

Palmeiras: A. Moreira Ferreira, 3-4-2-1 · Remo: T. Carpini Barbosa, 5-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 6-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Palmeiras win at 76%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (12%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.3 goals and there were 7.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 7 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 48%; both did, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Palmeiras win at 73%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.35 for Palmeiras and 3.86 for Remo.

Palmeiras scored about 5.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Remo left about 2.9 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Remo created the better chances, 3.86 xG to 0.35, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Palmeiras to create more, and Remo did.

Palmeiras had 9 shots on target, Remo 5.

Palmeiras had 58% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Palmeiras came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.54 expected goals for and 1.01 against, and had won 62% of their matches.

Remo came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.08 expected goals for and 1.75 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Palmeiras vs Remo: the match in numbers

PalmeirasMatch statisticsRemo
58%Ball possession42%
0.35Expected goals (xG)3.86
19Total shots11
9Shots on target5
8Big chances0
546Total passes396
88%Pass accuracy84%
5Corners3
11Fouls16
1Offsides2
10Tackles14
4Saves4
0Yellow cards4

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jhon Arias (Palmeiras), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Palmeiras

Remo

The lowest-rated starter was Marcelinho at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Palmeiras vs Remo

What was the score in Palmeiras vs Remo?

Palmeiras 6-1 Remo (half-time 4-1), Brasileirão, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Palmeiras vs Remo?

Jhon Arias 4', Jhon Arias 14', Mauricio 21', Zé Welison 45+2', José Manuel López 55', Felipe Anderson 80'.

Did Moneyball predict Palmeiras vs Remo correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 6-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Palmeiras vs Remo?

Jhon Arias, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Palmeiras vs Remo?

W. Pereira Sampaio.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.