Osasuna 2-0 Racing Santander: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
La Liga Matchday 9 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona · referee J. Martínez Munuera · full time
Full time: Osasuna 2-0 Racing Santander
Osasuna beat Racing Santander 2-0 in La Liga Matchday 9 on Sunday 18 October 2026 at Estadio El Sadar. The goals: Ante Budimir 9', Asier Osambela 88'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Osasuna won it
Osasuna struck first through Ante Budimir from the penalty spot in the 9th minute. Asier Osambela made it 2-0 to Osasuna in the 88th minute.
It was 1-0 at half-time.
The referee, J. Martínez Munuera, showed 5 yellow cards: 2 to Osasuna and 3 to Racing Santander.
Osasuna: J. Arrasate, 4-3-3 · Racing Santander: J. López Menéndez, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Osasuna -0.50, was right: 2-0 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was an Osasuna win at 53%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had an Osasuna win at 48%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.37 for Osasuna and 4.07 for Racing Santander.
Osasuna scored about 1.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Racing Santander left about 4.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Racing Santander created the better chances, 4.07 xG to 0.37, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Osasuna to create more, and Racing Santander did.
Osasuna had 7 shots on target, Racing Santander 1.
Racing Santander's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Racing Santander had 56% of the ball, but Osasuna took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Osasuna came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 1.55 against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Racing Santander came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 1.38 expected goals for and 2.18 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: the match in numbers
| Osasuna | Match statistics | Racing Santander |
|---|---|---|
| 44% | Ball possession | 56% |
| 0.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 4.07 |
| 20 | Total shots | 9 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 3 | Big chances | 0 |
| 327 | Total passes | 424 |
| 75% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 15 | Tackles | 14 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Rubén García (Osasuna), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Osasuna
- Rubén García 7.9
- Ante Budimir 7.8 1 goal
- Abel Bretones 7.3
- Asier Osambela 7.2 1 goal
- Enzo Boyomo 7.1
Racing Santander
- Julen Agirrezabala 7.4
- André Almeida 7.2
- Iñigo Vicente 7.1
- Álvaro Mantilla 6.9
- Pablo Ramón 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Jeanuël Belocian at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Osasuna: Osasuna vs Málaga Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga
- Racing Santander: Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Osasuna vs Racing Santander
What was the score in Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Osasuna 2-0 Racing Santander (half-time 1-0), La Liga, Sunday 18 October 2026.
Who scored in Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Ante Budimir 9', Asier Osambela 88'.
Did Moneyball predict Osasuna vs Racing Santander correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Osasuna -0.50, was right: 2-0 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Rubén García, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
J. Martínez Munuera.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.