Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Club: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
La Liga Matchday 12 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona · referee M. Sesma Espinosa · full time
Full time: Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Club
Osasuna and Athletic Club drew 1-1 in La Liga Matchday 12 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Estadio El Sadar. The goals: Nico Williams 84', Alejandro Catena 90'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
The opening goal came in the 84th minute: Nico Williams for Athletic Club. Osasuna levelled at 1-1 in the 90th minute through Alejandro Catena. A late equaliser, and a point saved.
It was 0-0 at half-time.
The referee, M. Sesma Espinosa, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to Osasuna and 1 to Athletic Club.
Osasuna: J. Arrasate, 4-3-3 · Athletic Club: E. Terzic, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was an Athletic Club win at 45%; a draw, at 27%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%), exactly the final score.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.7 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 49%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 54%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.71 for Osasuna and 0.86 for Athletic Club.
Osasuna scored about 1.7 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Osasuna created the better chances, 2.71 xG to 0.86, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Athletic Club to create more, and Osasuna did.
Osasuna had 5 shots on target, Athletic Club 4.
Athletic Club had 61% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Osasuna came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 1.55 against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Athletic Club came into it with 11 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 36% of their matches.
Osasuna vs Athletic Club: the match in numbers
| Osasuna | Match statistics | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| 39% | Ball possession | 61% |
| 2.71 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.86 |
| 17 | Total shots | 16 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 0 | Big chances | 4 |
| 336 | Total passes | 546 |
| 75% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 20 | Tackles | 12 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Alejandro Catena (Osasuna), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Osasuna
- Alejandro Catena 7.8 1 goal
- Rubén García 7.5
- Valentin Rosier 7.1
- Abel Bretones 7.1
- Aitor Fernández 6.9
Athletic Club
- Dani Vivian 7.5
- Unai Simón 7.2
- Nico Williams 7.2 1 goal
- Aymeric Laporte 7.1
- Robert Navarro 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Ante Budimir at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Osasuna: Osasuna vs Málaga Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga
- Athletic Club: Athletic Club vs Espanyol Friday 20 November 2026 · La Liga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Osasuna vs Athletic Club
What was the score in Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Club (half-time 0-0), La Liga, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
Nico Williams 84', Alejandro Catena 90'.
Did Moneyball predict Osasuna vs Athletic Club correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.
Who was man of the match in Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
Alejandro Catena, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
M. Sesma Espinosa.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.