Nice 5-2 Rennes: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Ligue 1 Matchday 9 · Friday 30 October 2026 · Allianz Riviera, Nice · referee E. Wattellier · full time
Full time: Nice 5-2 Rennes
Nice 5-2 Rennes: Nice took the points in Ligue 1 Matchday 9 on Friday 30 October 2026 at Allianz Riviera. The goals: Elye Wahi 12', Sebastian Szymański 15', Elye Wahi 34', Jonathan Clauss 45+2', Mohamed Amoura 52', Boulaye Dia 58', Elye Wahi 73'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Nice won it
Elye Wahi put Nice ahead in the 12th minute from the penalty spot. Rennes levelled at 1-1 in the 15th minute through Sebastian Szymański, set up by Mahamadou Nagida. Elye Wahi from the penalty spot made it 2-1 to Nice in the 34th minute. Jonathan Clauss made it 3-1 to Nice in the 45th minute (+2), set up by Elye Wahi. Mohamed Amoura made it 4-1 to Nice in the 52nd minute, set up by Sofiane Diop. Boulaye Dia from the penalty spot made it 4-2 to Rennes in the 58th minute. Elye Wahi made it 5-2 to Nice in the 73rd minute, set up by Gauthier Hein.
It was 3-1 at half-time.
Elye Wahi scored a hat-trick.
The referee, E. Wattellier, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Nice and 3 to Rennes.
Nice: O. Pantaloni, 3-4-2-1 · Rennes: F. Haise, 3-5-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Rennes win the likeliest outcome (40%), and a Nice win, at 34%, is what happened.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.1 goals and there were 7.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 7 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-30, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.30 for Nice and 3.29 for Rennes.
Nice scored about 2.7 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Rennes left about 1.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Rennes created the better chances, 3.29 xG to 2.30, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
Nice had 8 shots on target, Rennes 9.
Nice's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
Rennes had 53% of the ball, but Nice took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Nice came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.31 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Rennes came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.92 expected goals for and 1.90 against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Nice vs Rennes: the match in numbers
| Nice | Match statistics | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| 47% | Ball possession | 53% |
| 2.30 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.29 |
| 17 | Total shots | 18 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 7 | Big chances | 3 |
| 422 | Total passes | 469 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 17 | Tackles | 12 |
| 7 | Saves | 3 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Elye Wahi (Nice), rated 9.5 by Sportmonks, with 3 goals, 1 assist.
Nice
- Elye Wahi 9.5 3 goals, 1 assist
- Mohamed Amoura 8.0 1 goal
- Jonathan Clauss 7.9 1 goal
- Yehvann Diouf 7.8
- Gauthier Hein 7.5 1 assist
Rennes
- Sebastian Szymański 7.6 1 goal
- Boulaye Dia 7.2 1 goal
- Mousa Tamari 7.2
- Eliezer Mayenda Dossou 6.8
- Charlie Cresswell 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was Anthony Rouault at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Nice: Nice vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
- Rennes: Lorient vs Rennes Sunday 22 November 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Nice vs Rennes
What was the score in Nice vs Rennes?
Nice 5-2 Rennes (half-time 3-1), Ligue 1, Friday 30 October 2026.
Who scored in Nice vs Rennes?
Elye Wahi 12', Sebastian Szymański 15', Elye Wahi 34', Jonathan Clauss 45+2', Mohamed Amoura 52', Boulaye Dia 58', Elye Wahi 73'.
Did Moneyball predict Nice vs Rennes correctly?
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Rennes win the likeliest outcome (40%), and a Nice win, at 34%, is what happened.
Who was man of the match in Nice vs Rennes?
Elye Wahi, rated 9.5 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Nice vs Rennes?
E. Wattellier.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.