MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

New York RB 3-0 Atlanta United: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: New York RB 3-0 Atlanta United

New York RB beat Atlanta United 3-0 in MLS on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium. The goals: Adri Mehmeti 31', Cade Cowell 54', Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 81'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How New York RB won it

New York RB struck first through Adri Mehmeti in the 31st minute. Cade Cowell made it 2-0 to New York RB in the 54th minute, set up by Sekou Kone. Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty made it 3-0 to New York RB in the 81st minute.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, P. Luce Lauziere, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to New York RB and 1 to Atlanta United.

New York RB: M. Bradley, 4-3-3 · Atlanta United: G. Martino, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a New York RB win the most likely outcome at 43%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-0.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 63%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.53 for New York RB and 2.04 for Atlanta United.

New York RB scored about 2.5 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Atlanta United left about 2.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Atlanta United created the better chances, 2.04 xG to 0.53, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected New York RB to create more, and Atlanta United did.

New York RB had 7 shots on target, Atlanta United 0.

New York RB had 50% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

New York RB came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.76 expected goals for and 1.60 against, and had won 35% of their matches.

Atlanta United came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.49 expected goals for and 1.41 against, and had won 26% of their matches.

New York RB vs Atlanta United: the match in numbers

New York RBMatch statisticsAtlanta United
50%Ball possession50%
0.53Expected goals (xG)2.04
14Total shots8
7Shots on target0
6Big chances1
431Total passes423
82%Pass accuracy80%
5Corners4
15Fouls10
1Offsides1
17Tackles18
0Saves4
1Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty (New York RB), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

New York RB

Atlanta United

The lowest-rated starter was Júnior Alonso at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

Questions about New York RB vs Atlanta United

What was the score in New York RB vs Atlanta United?

New York RB 3-0 Atlanta United (half-time 1-0), MLS, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in New York RB vs Atlanta United?

Adri Mehmeti 31', Cade Cowell 54', Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 81'.

Did Moneyball predict New York RB vs Atlanta United correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a New York RB win the most likely outcome at 43%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-0.

Who was man of the match in New York RB vs Atlanta United?

Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed New York RB vs Atlanta United?

P. Luce Lauziere.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.