New York RB 3-0 Atlanta United: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
MLS · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison · referee P. Luce Lauziere · full time
Full time: New York RB 3-0 Atlanta United
New York RB beat Atlanta United 3-0 in MLS on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium. The goals: Adri Mehmeti 31', Cade Cowell 54', Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 81'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How New York RB won it
New York RB struck first through Adri Mehmeti in the 31st minute. Cade Cowell made it 2-0 to New York RB in the 54th minute, set up by Sekou Kone. Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty made it 3-0 to New York RB in the 81st minute.
It was 1-0 at half-time.
The referee, P. Luce Lauziere, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to New York RB and 1 to Atlanta United.
New York RB: M. Bradley, 4-3-3 · Atlanta United: G. Martino, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a New York RB win the most likely outcome at 43%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-0.
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 63%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.53 for New York RB and 2.04 for Atlanta United.
New York RB scored about 2.5 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Atlanta United left about 2.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Atlanta United created the better chances, 2.04 xG to 0.53, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected New York RB to create more, and Atlanta United did.
New York RB had 7 shots on target, Atlanta United 0.
New York RB had 50% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
New York RB came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.76 expected goals for and 1.60 against, and had won 35% of their matches.
Atlanta United came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.49 expected goals for and 1.41 against, and had won 26% of their matches.
New York RB vs Atlanta United: the match in numbers
| New York RB | Match statistics | Atlanta United |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Ball possession | 50% |
| 0.53 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.04 |
| 14 | Total shots | 8 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 6 | Big chances | 1 |
| 431 | Total passes | 423 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 17 | Tackles | 18 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty (New York RB), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
New York RB
- Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 8.0 1 goal
- Cade Cowell 7.7 1 goal
- Adri Mehmeti 7.6 1 goal
- Sekou Kone 7.4 1 assist
- Julián Bazán 7.3
Atlanta United
- Elías Báez 7.0
- Paulo Díaz 6.8
- Ajani Fortune 6.8
- Breel Embolo 6.7
- Cooper Sanchez 6.6
The lowest-rated starter was Júnior Alonso at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
Questions about New York RB vs Atlanta United
What was the score in New York RB vs Atlanta United?
New York RB 3-0 Atlanta United (half-time 1-0), MLS, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in New York RB vs Atlanta United?
Adri Mehmeti 31', Cade Cowell 54', Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 81'.
Did Moneyball predict New York RB vs Atlanta United correctly?
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a New York RB win the most likely outcome at 43%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-0.
Who was man of the match in New York RB vs Atlanta United?
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed New York RB vs Atlanta United?
P. Luce Lauziere.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.