Nashville SC 3-2 New York RB: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
MLS · Sunday 1 November 2026 · GEODIS Park · referee S. Demianchuk · full time
Full time: Nashville SC 3-2 New York RB
Nashville SC won 3-2 at home to New York RB in MLS on Sunday 1 November 2026. The goals: Julian Hall 34', Rafael Mosquera 40', Sam Surridge 90+1'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Nashville SC won it
The opening goal came in the 34th minute: Julian Hall for New York RB, set up by Adri Mehmeti. Rafael Mosquera made it 0-2 to New York RB in the 40th minute, set up by Cade Cowell. An own goal by Tim Parker made it 1-2 to Nashville SC in the 45th minute. Nashville SC levelled at 2-2 in the 78th minute through an own goal by Julián Bazán. Nashville SC turned it round: Sam Surridge made it 3-2 in the 90th minute (+1), set up by Cristian Espinoza. It came late, and it settled the match.
New York RB led by two and lost: Nashville SC came back to win it.
It was 1-2 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, S. Demianchuk, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Nashville SC and 2 to New York RB. Cade Cowell missed a penalty for New York RB in the 19 minute.
Nashville SC: B. Callaghan II, 4-4-2 · New York RB: M. Bradley, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome at 66%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-2.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.1 goals and there were 5.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 53%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.18 for Nashville SC and 2.52 for New York RB.
Nashville SC had 7 shots on target, New York RB 4.
New York RB's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Nashville SC had 61% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Nashville SC came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.67 expected goals for and 1.27 against, and had won 68% of their matches.
New York RB came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.76 expected goals for and 1.60 against, and had won 35% of their matches.
Nashville SC vs New York RB: the match in numbers
| Nashville SC | Match statistics | New York RB |
|---|---|---|
| 61% | Ball possession | 39% |
| 2.18 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.52 |
| 21 | Total shots | 14 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 5 | Big chances | 4 |
| 505 | Total passes | 323 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 75% |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 10 | Tackles | 22 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Cristian Espinoza (Nashville SC), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.
Nashville SC
- Cristian Espinoza 8.3 1 assist
- Maxwell Woledzi 7.4
- Brian Schwake 7.3
- Hany Mukhtar 7.2
- Jeison Palacios 7.1
New York RB
- Ethan Horvath 7.7
- Rafael Mosquera 7.2 1 goal
- Cade Cowell 7.2 1 assist
- Julian Hall 7.1 1 goal
- Adri Mehmeti 7.1 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Tim Parker at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Nashville SC: Nashville SC vs TBC Sunday 22 November 2026 · MLS
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Nashville SC vs New York RB
What was the score in Nashville SC vs New York RB?
Nashville SC 3-2 New York RB (half-time 1-2), MLS, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Nashville SC vs New York RB?
Julian Hall 34', Rafael Mosquera 40', Sam Surridge 90+1'.
Did Moneyball predict Nashville SC vs New York RB correctly?
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome at 66%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-2.
Who was man of the match in Nashville SC vs New York RB?
Cristian Espinoza, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Nashville SC vs New York RB?
S. Demianchuk.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.