Napoli 1-1 Lazio: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 11 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli · referee L. Pairetto · full time
Full time: Napoli 1-1 Lazio
Napoli and Lazio drew 1-1 in Serie A Matchday 11 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. The goals: Davide Frattesi 28'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.
How the match unfolded
Lazio struck first through Davide Frattesi in the 28th minute, set up by Tijjani Noslin. Napoli levelled at 1-1 in the 48th minute through an own goal by Alfonso Pedraza.
It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, L. Pairetto, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to Napoli and 1 to Lazio.
Napoli: M. Allegri, 3-4-2-1 · Lazio: I. Gattuso, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Under 3.25, and 1-1 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Napoli win at 42%; a draw, at 25%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%), exactly the final score.
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Napoli win at 44%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.24 for Napoli and 1.81 for Lazio.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Napoli to create more, and Lazio did.
Napoli had 6 shots on target, Lazio 6.
Lazio's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Lazio had 51% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Napoli came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.79 expected goals for and 1.39 against, and had won 36% of their matches.
Lazio came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.29 against, and had won 82% of their matches.
Napoli vs Lazio: the match in numbers
| Napoli | Match statistics | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | Ball possession | 51% |
| 1.24 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.81 |
| 15 | Total shots | 15 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 2 | Big chances | 0 |
| 459 | Total passes | 487 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 22 | Tackles | 8 |
| 5 | Saves | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Vanja Milinković-Savić (Napoli), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Napoli
- Vanja Milinković-Savić 7.8
- Amir Rrahmani 7.4
- Mathías Olivera 7.1
- Scott McTominay 7.1
- Rafa Marín 6.9
Lazio
- Christos Mandas 7.7
- Reda Belahyane 7.3
- Tijjani Noslin 7.3 1 assist
- Oliver Provstgaard 7.2
- Gustav Isaksen 7.2
The lowest-rated starter was Romano Floriani at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Napoli: Napoli vs Torino Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
- Lazio: Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Napoli vs Lazio
What was the score in Napoli vs Lazio?
Napoli 1-1 Lazio (half-time 0-1), Serie A, Sunday 8 November 2026.
Who scored in Napoli vs Lazio?
Davide Frattesi 28'.
Did Moneyball predict Napoli vs Lazio correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Under 3.25, and 1-1 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Napoli vs Lazio?
Vanja Milinković-Savić, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Napoli vs Lazio?
L. Pairetto.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.