Nacional 1-0 Academico Viseu: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Nacional won it

Matchoi Djaló put Nacional ahead in the 86th minute, set up by Pablo Ruan. There was no time to answer it.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, P. Torres Ramalho, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Nacional and 4 to Academico Viseu.

Nacional: J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques, 4-3-3 · Academico Viseu: B. Nogueira Pinheiro, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.25, and on 1-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Nacional win at 38%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.7 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 51%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 56%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Academico Viseu win at 38%, a different lean from Moneyball's.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.79 for Nacional and 1.43 for Academico Viseu.

Academico Viseu left about 1.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Nacional to create more, and Academico Viseu did.

Nacional had 6 shots on target, Academico Viseu 6.

Nacional's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Nacional had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Nacional came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.07 expected goals for and 1.59 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Academico Viseu came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and 1.78 against, and had won 55% of their matches.

Nacional vs Academico Viseu: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Renato Marin (Nacional), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Nacional

• Renato Marin 8.3
• Markus Jensen 7.6
• Min-kyu Song 7.4
• Matchoi Djaló 7.3 1 goal
• Matheus Dias 7.2

Academico Viseu

• Ewerton 7.5
• André Clóvis 7.4
• Nikolaos Michelis 7.3
• Soufiane Messeguem 7.2
• Miguel Ángel Brau 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Stavros Gavriel at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

Questions about Nacional vs Academico Viseu

What was the score in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

Nacional 1-0 Academico Viseu (half-time 0-0), Liga Portugal, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

Matchoi Djaló 86'.

Did Moneyball predict Nacional vs Academico Viseu correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.25, and on 1-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

Renato Marin, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

P. Torres Ramalho.