Moreirense 2-1 Estrela Amadora: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Portugal Matchday 10 · Saturday 31 October 2026 · Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos · referee J. Silva Pinheiro · full time
Full time: Moreirense 2-1 Estrela Amadora
Moreirense beat Estrela Amadora 2-1 in Liga Portugal Matchday 10 on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. The goals: Landerson 50', Lovro Zvonarek 57', Nile John 90+5'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Moreirense won it
Moreirense struck first through Landerson in the 50th minute, set up by Manuel Mendonça. Estrela Amadora levelled at 1-1 in the 57th minute through Lovro Zvonarek. Nile John made it 2-1 to Moreirense in the 90th minute (+5), set up by Tiago Andrade.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, J. Silva Pinheiro, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Moreirense and 1 to Estrela Amadora.
Moreirense: V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa, 4-2-3-1 · Estrela Amadora: P. Marques da Costa Filipe, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Estrela Amadora win the likeliest outcome (42%), and a Moreirense win, at 33%, is what happened.
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.92 for Moreirense and 0.55 for Estrela Amadora.
Moreirense scored about 1.1 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Moreirense had 4 shots on target, Estrela Amadora 1.
Moreirense had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Moreirense came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 0.85 expected goals for and 1.79 against, and had won 36% of their matches.
Estrela Amadora came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.47 expected goals for and 1.24 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora: the match in numbers
| Moreirense | Match statistics | Estrela Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| 53% | Ball possession | 47% |
| 0.92 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.55 |
| 11 | Total shots | 11 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 1 | Big chances | 1 |
| 428 | Total passes | 385 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 76% |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Offsides | 3 |
| 16 | Tackles | 25 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Gilberto Batista (Moreirense), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Moreirense
- Gilberto Batista 7.7
- Nile John 7.7 1 goal
- Kevyn 7.5
- Tiago Andrade 7.3 1 assist
- Manuel Mendonça 7.2 1 assist
Estrela Amadora
- Lovro Zvonarek 7.2 1 goal
- Leandro Antonetti 7.0
- Kevin Höög Jansson 6.9
- Luan Patrick 6.8
- Ianis Stoica 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was André Ferreira at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
Questions about Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora
What was the score in Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora?
Moreirense 2-1 Estrela Amadora (half-time 0-0), Liga Portugal, Saturday 31 October 2026.
Who scored in Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora?
Landerson 50', Lovro Zvonarek 57', Nile John 90+5'.
Did Moneyball predict Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora correctly?
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Estrela Amadora win the likeliest outcome (42%), and a Moreirense win, at 33%, is what happened.
Who was man of the match in Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora?
Gilberto Batista, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora?
J. Silva Pinheiro.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.