Minnesota United 3-1 SJ Earthquakes: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Minnesota United won it

Preston Judd put SJ Earthquakes ahead in the 45th minute, set up by Niko Tsakiris. Minnesota United levelled at 1-1 in the 57th minute through Tomás Chancalay, set up by Joaquín Pereyra. Minnesota United turned it round: an own goal by Angus Gunn made it 2-1 in the 82nd minute. Nectarios Triantis made it 3-1 to Minnesota United in the 90th minute (+4), set up by Morris Duggan.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, A. Da Silva, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Minnesota United and 3 to SJ Earthquakes.

Minnesota United: C. Knowles, 4-4-2 · SJ Earthquakes: B. Arena, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Minnesota United win the most likely outcome at 38%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-1.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.3 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 64%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 66%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.36 for Minnesota United and 1.29 for SJ Earthquakes.

Minnesota United scored about 1.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Minnesota United had 6 shots on target, SJ Earthquakes 3.

Minnesota United had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Minnesota United came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.70 expected goals for and 1.63 against, and had won 32% of their matches.

SJ Earthquakes came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.78 expected goals for and 1.39 against, and had won 41% of their matches.

Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Joaquín Pereyra (Minnesota United), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Minnesota United

• Joaquín Pereyra 8.0 1 assist
• Tomás Chancalay 7.7 1 goal
• Morris Duggan 7.6 1 assist
• Nectarios Triantis 7.4 1 goal
• Anthony Markanich Jr. 7.0

SJ Earthquakes

• Niko Tsakiris 7.2 1 assist
• Preston Judd 7.0 1 goal
• Angus Gunn 6.9
• Benji Kikanović 6.9
• Eduard Löwen 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Ousseni Bouda at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• SJ Earthquakes: SJ Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Wednesday 25 November 2026 · MLS

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes

What was the score in Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes?

Minnesota United 3-1 SJ Earthquakes (half-time 0-1), MLS, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes?

Preston Judd 45', Tomás Chancalay 57', Nectarios Triantis 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Minnesota United win the most likely outcome at 38%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-1.

Who was man of the match in Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes?

Joaquín Pereyra, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes?

A. Da Silva.