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Málaga 2-5 Real Sociedad: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Málaga 2-5 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad beat Málaga 5-2 in La Liga Matchday 9 on Sunday 18 October 2026 at Estadio La Rosaleda. The goals: Takefusa Kubo 3', Orri Óskarsson 26', Adrián Niño Heredia 54', Mikel Oyarzabal 59', Pablo Martínez 66', Mikel Oyarzabal 67', Gonçalo Guedes 73'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Real Sociedad won it

Real Sociedad struck first through Takefusa Kubo in the 3rd minute, set up by Héctor Fort. Orri Óskarsson made it 0-2 to Real Sociedad in the 26th minute. Adrián Niño Heredia made it 1-2 to Málaga in the 54th minute, set up by Pablo Martínez. Mikel Oyarzabal made it 1-3 to Real Sociedad in the 59th minute, set up by Takefusa Kubo. Pablo Martínez made it 2-3 to Málaga in the 66th minute. Mikel Oyarzabal made it 2-4 to Real Sociedad in the 67th minute, set up by Jon Martín Vicente. Gonçalo Guedes made it 2-5 to Real Sociedad in the 73rd minute.

It was 0-2 at half-time.

Mikel Oyarzabal scored twice.

The referee, L. Bestard Servera, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Málaga and 2 to Real Sociedad.

Málaga: J. Funes Arjona, 4-4-2 · Real Sociedad: P. Matarazzo, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Real Sociedad -0.50, was right: 2-5 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Real Sociedad win at 47%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.9 goals and there were 7.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 7 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 58%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Real Sociedad win at 41%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.08 for Málaga and 1.70 for Real Sociedad.

Real Sociedad made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.3 goals.

Málaga had 6 shots on target, Real Sociedad 9.

Real Sociedad had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Málaga came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.79 against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Real Sociedad came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.35 expected goals for and 1.73 against, and had won 58% of their matches.

Málaga vs Real Sociedad: the match in numbers

MálagaMatch statisticsReal Sociedad
45%Ball possession55%
2.08Expected goals (xG)1.70
17Total shots21
6Shots on target9
4Big chances4
478Total passes590
86%Pass accuracy89%
4Corners5
4Fouls9
2Offsides2
22Tackles18
4Saves4
1Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Málaga

Real Sociedad

The lowest-rated starter was Alfonso Herrero at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Málaga vs Real Sociedad

What was the score in Málaga vs Real Sociedad?

Málaga 2-5 Real Sociedad (half-time 0-2), La Liga, Sunday 18 October 2026.

Who scored in Málaga vs Real Sociedad?

Takefusa Kubo 3', Orri Óskarsson 26', Adrián Niño Heredia 54', Mikel Oyarzabal 59', Pablo Martínez 66', Mikel Oyarzabal 67', Gonçalo Guedes 73'.

Did Moneyball predict Málaga vs Real Sociedad correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Real Sociedad -0.50, was right: 2-5 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Málaga vs Real Sociedad?

Mikel Oyarzabal, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Málaga vs Real Sociedad?

L. Bestard Servera.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.