Málaga 1-2 Racing Santander: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
La Liga Matchday 12 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga · referee I. Díaz de Mera Escuderos · full time
Full time: Málaga 1-2 Racing Santander
Racing Santander beat Málaga 2-1 in La Liga Matchday 12 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Estadio La Rosaleda. The goals: Carlos Dotor 28', Iker Luque 50', Yassir Zabiri 60'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Racing Santander won it
The opening goal came in the 28th minute: Carlos Dotor for Málaga, set up by Adrián Niño Heredia. Racing Santander levelled at 1-1 in the 50th minute through Iker Luque, set up by Pablo Ramón. Racing Santander turned it round: Yassir Zabiri made it 1-2 in the 60th minute.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.
The lead changed hands once.
Adam Aznou of Málaga was sent off in the 64th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, I. Díaz de Mera Escuderos, showed 6 yellow cards: 4 to Málaga and 2 to Racing Santander.
Málaga: J. Funes Arjona, 5-3-2 · Racing Santander: J. López Menéndez, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Málaga win at 42%; a Racing Santander win, at 33%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 60%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 63%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Málaga win at 39%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.61 for Málaga and 1.82 for Racing Santander.
Málaga had 8 shots on target, Racing Santander 7.
Racing Santander's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
Racing Santander had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Málaga came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.79 against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Racing Santander came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 1.38 expected goals for and 2.18 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Málaga vs Racing Santander: the match in numbers
| Málaga | Match statistics | Racing Santander |
|---|---|---|
| 47% | Ball possession | 53% |
| 1.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.82 |
| 16 | Total shots | 21 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 7 | Big chances | 4 |
| 430 | Total passes | 504 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 27 | Tackles | 23 |
| 5 | Saves | 7 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Julen Agirrezabala (Racing Santander), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Málaga
- David Larrubia 7.5
- Carlos Dotor 7.3 1 goal
- Ramón Enríquez 7.2
- Alfonso Herrero 7.1
- Rafa Rodríguez 6.9
Racing Santander
- Julen Agirrezabala 8.3
- Pablo Ramón 7.7 1 assist
- Iker Luque 7.7 1 goal
- Yassir Zabiri 7.5 1 goal
- Sergio Canales 7.4
The lowest-rated starter was Adam Aznou at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Málaga: Osasuna vs Málaga Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga
- Racing Santander: Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Málaga vs Racing Santander
What was the score in Málaga vs Racing Santander?
Málaga 1-2 Racing Santander (half-time 1-0), La Liga, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Málaga vs Racing Santander?
Carlos Dotor 28', Iker Luque 50', Yassir Zabiri 60'.
Did Moneyball predict Málaga vs Racing Santander correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.
Who was man of the match in Málaga vs Racing Santander?
Julen Agirrezabala, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Málaga vs Racing Santander?
I. Díaz de Mera Escuderos.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.