Madura United 3-0 Arema: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga 1 Indonesia Matchday 9 · Friday 6 November 2026 · Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan · referee B. Sanjaya · full time
Full time: Madura United 3-0 Arema
Madura United won 3-0 at home to Arema in Liga 1 Indonesia Matchday 9 on Friday 6 November 2026. The goals: Jorge Ambrosio Mendonça 45', Dimitar Mitkov 45+2', Gali Freitas 90+2'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Madura United won it
The opening goal came in the 45th minute: Jorge Ambrosio Mendonça for Madura United, set up by Lulinha. Dimitar Mitkov made it 2-0 to Madura United in the 45th minute (+2), set up by Gali Freitas. Gali Freitas made it 3-0 to Madura United in the 90th minute (+2).
It was 2-0 at half-time.
The referee, B. Sanjaya, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Madura United and 1 to Arema.
Madura United: J. Gomes da Silva, 4-2-3-1 · Arema: M. dos Santos Gonçalves, 3-4-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Madura United -0.25, was right: 3-0 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Madura United win at 44%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 57%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Madura United win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Madura United had 11 shots on target, Arema 2.
Arema's goalkeeper made 8 saves.
Madura United had 50% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Madura United came into it with 9 Liga 1 Indonesia matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.1 a match, and had won 67% of their matches.
Arema came into it with 9 Liga 1 Indonesia matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.2 a match, and had won 22% of their matches.
Madura United vs Arema: the match in numbers
| Madura United | Match statistics | Arema |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Ball possession | 50% |
| 21 | Total shots | 4 |
| 11 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 388 | Total passes | 378 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Tackles | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Gali Freitas (Madura United), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Madura United
- Gali Freitas 8.5 1 goal, 1 assist
- Lulinha 7.8 1 assist
- Jorge Ambrosio Mendonça 7.7 1 goal
- Pedro Monteiro 7.2
- Jajá 7.1
Arema
- MV 6.9
- Adi Satryo 6.8
- Walisson Maia 6.8
- Roberto Pimenta Vinagre Filho 6.7
- Gustavo França 6.5
The lowest-rated starter was Hansamu Yama at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Madura United: Garudayaksa FC vs Madura United Friday 20 November 2026 · Liga 1 Indonesia
- Arema: PSS Sleman vs Arema Friday 20 November 2026 · Liga 1 Indonesia
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Madura United vs Arema
What was the score in Madura United vs Arema?
Madura United 3-0 Arema (half-time 2-0), Liga 1 Indonesia, Friday 6 November 2026.
Who scored in Madura United vs Arema?
Jorge Ambrosio Mendonça 45', Dimitar Mitkov 45+2', Gali Freitas 90+2'.
Did Moneyball predict Madura United vs Arema correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Madura United -0.25, was right: 3-0 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Madura United vs Arema?
Gali Freitas, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Madura United vs Arema?
B. Sanjaya.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.