LOSC Lille 1-0 Lens: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Ligue 1 Matchday 9 · Friday 30 October 2026 · Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq · referee J. Brisard · full time
Full time: LOSC Lille 1-0 Lens
LOSC Lille won 1-0 at home to Lens in Ligue 1 Matchday 9 on Friday 30 October 2026. The goals: Olivier Giroud 86'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How LOSC Lille won it
LOSC Lille struck first through Olivier Giroud in the 86th minute. It came late, and it settled the match.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, J. Brisard, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to LOSC Lille and 1 to Lens.
LOSC Lille: Davide Ancelotti, 4-3-3 · Lens: Y. Cahuzac, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Under 2.75, and 1-0 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a LOSC Lille win at 38%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.8 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-30, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.26 for LOSC Lille and 1.53 for Lens.
Lens left about 1.5 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Lens created the better chances, 1.53 xG to 0.26, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected LOSC Lille to create more, and Lens did.
LOSC Lille had 7 shots on target, Lens 3.
Lens's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
LOSC Lille had 62% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
LOSC Lille came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.43 against, and had won 60% of their matches.
Lens came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 1.60 against, and had won 40% of their matches.
LOSC Lille vs Lens: the match in numbers
| LOSC Lille | Match statistics | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| 62% | Ball possession | 38% |
| 0.26 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.53 |
| 16 | Total shots | 5 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 5 | Big chances | 1 |
| 586 | Total passes | 358 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 74% |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 9 | Tackles | 23 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Nabil Bentaleb (LOSC Lille), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
LOSC Lille
- Nabil Bentaleb 8.0
- Berke Özer 7.3
- Maxima Goffi 7.3
- Alexsandro 7.2
- Olivier Giroud 7.2 1 goal
Lens
- Robin Risser 7.6
- Florian Thauvin 7.0
- Matthieu Udol 7.0
- Amadou Haidara 7.0
- Saud Abdulhamid 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Michaël Cuisance at 6.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- LOSC Lille: LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
- Lens: Lens vs Toulouse Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about LOSC Lille vs Lens
What was the score in LOSC Lille vs Lens?
LOSC Lille 1-0 Lens (half-time 0-0), Ligue 1, Friday 30 October 2026.
Who scored in LOSC Lille vs Lens?
Olivier Giroud 86'.
Did Moneyball predict LOSC Lille vs Lens correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Under 2.75, and 1-0 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in LOSC Lille vs Lens?
Nabil Bentaleb, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed LOSC Lille vs Lens?
J. Brisard.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.