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Lorient 1-0 Monaco: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Lorient 1-0 Monaco

Lorient 1-0 Monaco: Lorient took the points in Ligue 1 Matchday 7 on Sunday 18 October 2026 at Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir. The goals: Noah Cadiou 61'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Lorient won it

Noah Cadiou put Lorient ahead in the 61st minute from the penalty spot.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, M. Bollengier, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Lorient and 4 to Monaco.

Lorient: A. Dujeux, 3-4-2-1 · Monaco: F. Kasmirski, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Lorient +0.50, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Monaco win at 39%; a Lorient win, at 32%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.4 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 44%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 50%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Monaco win at 44%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.77 for Lorient and 1.71 for Monaco.

Monaco left about 1.7 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Monaco created the better chances, 1.71 xG to 0.77, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Lorient had 3 shots on target, Monaco 4.

Monaco had 58% of the ball, but Lorient took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Lorient came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.20 expected goals for and 1.14 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Monaco came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Lorient vs Monaco: the match in numbers

LorientMatch statisticsMonaco
42%Ball possession58%
0.77Expected goals (xG)1.71
9Total shots15
3Shots on target4
3Big chances1
477Total passes661
84%Pass accuracy90%
3Corners4
10Fouls17
1Offsides0
14Tackles16
4Saves2
2Yellow cards4

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Dembo Sylla (Lorient), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Lorient

Monaco

The lowest-rated starter was Ansu Fati at 6.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Lorient vs Monaco

What was the score in Lorient vs Monaco?

Lorient 1-0 Monaco (half-time 0-0), Ligue 1, Sunday 18 October 2026.

Who scored in Lorient vs Monaco?

Noah Cadiou 61'.

Did Moneyball predict Lorient vs Monaco correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Lorient +0.50, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Lorient vs Monaco?

Dembo Sylla, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Lorient vs Monaco?

M. Bollengier.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.