Lorient 1-0 Monaco: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Ligue 1 Matchday 7 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient · referee M. Bollengier · full time
Full time: Lorient 1-0 Monaco
Lorient 1-0 Monaco: Lorient took the points in Ligue 1 Matchday 7 on Sunday 18 October 2026 at Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir. The goals: Noah Cadiou 61'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Lorient won it
Noah Cadiou put Lorient ahead in the 61st minute from the penalty spot.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, M. Bollengier, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Lorient and 4 to Monaco.
Lorient: A. Dujeux, 3-4-2-1 · Monaco: F. Kasmirski, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Lorient +0.50, was right: 1-0 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Monaco win at 39%; a Lorient win, at 32%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.4 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 44%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 50%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Monaco win at 44%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.77 for Lorient and 1.71 for Monaco.
Monaco left about 1.7 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Monaco created the better chances, 1.71 xG to 0.77, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
Lorient had 3 shots on target, Monaco 4.
Monaco had 58% of the ball, but Lorient took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Lorient came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.20 expected goals for and 1.14 against, and had won 40% of their matches.
Monaco came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 40% of their matches.
Lorient vs Monaco: the match in numbers
| Lorient | Match statistics | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Ball possession | 58% |
| 0.77 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 9 | Total shots | 15 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 3 | Big chances | 1 |
| 477 | Total passes | 661 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 14 | Tackles | 16 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Dembo Sylla (Lorient), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Lorient
- Dembo Sylla 7.6
- Isaak Touré 7.5
- Noah Cadiou 7.4 1 goal
- Yvon Mvogo 7.4
- Arthur Avom 7.4
Monaco
- Aleksandr Golovin 7.5
- Lamine Camara 7.3
- Vanderson 7.3
- Mohammed Salisu 7.0
- Matthis Abline 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Ansu Fati at 6.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Lorient: Lorient vs Rennes Sunday 22 November 2026 · Ligue 1
- Monaco: Monaco vs Auxerre Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Lorient vs Monaco
What was the score in Lorient vs Monaco?
Lorient 1-0 Monaco (half-time 0-0), Ligue 1, Sunday 18 October 2026.
Who scored in Lorient vs Monaco?
Noah Cadiou 61'.
Did Moneyball predict Lorient vs Monaco correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Lorient +0.50, was right: 1-0 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Lorient vs Monaco?
Dembo Sylla, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Lorient vs Monaco?
M. Bollengier.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.