Lens 2-1 Paris: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Lens won it

Luca Koleosho put Paris ahead in the 45th minute (+2), set up by Lassine Sinayoko. Lens levelled at 1-1 in the 63rd minute through Florian Thauvin, set up by Thorgan Hazard. Lens turned it round: Thorgan Hazard made it 2-1 in the 83rd minute, set up by Florian Thauvin.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, M. Vernice, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Lens and 3 to Paris.

Lens: Y. Cahuzac, 3-4-2-1 · Paris: L. Rosenior, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Lens -0.25, was right: 2-1 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Lens win at 49%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-24, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.56 for Lens and 0.85 for Paris.

Lens scored about 1.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Lens had 3 shots on target, Paris 1.

Lens had 56% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Lens came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 1.60 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Paris came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 1.06 against, and had won 60% of their matches.

Lens vs Paris: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Florian Thauvin (Lens), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Lens

• Florian Thauvin 8.5 1 goal, 1 assist
• Thorgan Hazard 8.0 1 goal, 1 assist
• Saud Abdulhamid 7.1
• Michaël Cuisance 6.9
• Ruben Aguilar 6.9

Paris

• Luca Koleosho 7.1 1 goal
• Ilan Kebbal 6.8
• Maxime Lopez 6.8
• Pierre Lees-Melou 6.8
• Lassine Sinayoko 6.6 1 assist

The lowest-rated starter was Adama Camara at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Lens: Lens vs Toulouse Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
• Paris: Paris vs Angers SCO Sunday 22 November 2026 · Ligue 1

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Lens vs Paris

What was the score in Lens vs Paris?

Lens 2-1 Paris (half-time 0-1), Ligue 1, Saturday 24 October 2026.

Who scored in Lens vs Paris?

Luca Koleosho 45+2', Florian Thauvin 63', Thorgan Hazard 83'.

Did Moneyball predict Lens vs Paris correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Lens -0.25, was right: 2-1 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Lens vs Paris?

Florian Thauvin, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Lens vs Paris?

M. Vernice.