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Lanús 1-1 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Lanús 1-1 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Lanús and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza drew 1-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez. The goals: Gonzalo Thomás Lobos 45+4'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

Lanús struck first through Gonzalo Thomás Lobos in the 45th minute (+4), set up by Felipe Peña Biafore. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza levelled at 1-1 in the 72nd minute through an own goal by Raúl Loaiza.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, P. Echavarría, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Lanús and 1 to Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.

Lanús: M. Pellegrino, 4-4-2 · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: D. Franco Gatti, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Lanús win the likeliest outcome (56%), and a draw, at 26%, is what happened.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.5 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 45%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 46%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.81 for Lanús and 1.16 for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.

Lanús had 4 shots on target, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 6.

Lanús's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza had 55% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Lanús came into it with 33 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.26 expected goals for and 1.03 against, and had won 39% of their matches.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 0.99 expected goals for and 1.54 against, and had won 34% of their matches.

Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: the match in numbers

LanúsMatch statisticsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
45%Ball possession55%
0.81Expected goals (xG)1.16
13Total shots15
4Shots on target6
1Big chances2
406Total passes499
73%Pass accuracy78%
4Corners6
7Fouls9
2Offsides0
18Tackles16
5Saves3
0Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Facundo Lencioni (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Lanús

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

The lowest-rated starter was Matías Sepúlveda at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

What was the score in Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?

Lanús 1-1 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (half-time 1-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?

Gonzalo Thomás Lobos 45+4'.

Did Moneyball predict Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Lanús win the likeliest outcome (56%), and a draw, at 26%, is what happened.

Who was man of the match in Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?

Facundo Lencioni, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?

P. Echavarría.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.