Lanús 1-1 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús · referee P. Echavarría · full time
Full time: Lanús 1-1 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Lanús and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza drew 1-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez. The goals: Gonzalo Thomás Lobos 45+4'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Lanús struck first through Gonzalo Thomás Lobos in the 45th minute (+4), set up by Felipe Peña Biafore. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza levelled at 1-1 in the 72nd minute through an own goal by Raúl Loaiza.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, P. Echavarría, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Lanús and 1 to Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.
Lanús: M. Pellegrino, 4-4-2 · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: D. Franco Gatti, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Lanús win the likeliest outcome (56%), and a draw, at 26%, is what happened.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.5 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 45%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 46%; both did, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.81 for Lanús and 1.16 for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.
Lanús had 4 shots on target, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 6.
Lanús's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza had 55% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Lanús came into it with 33 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.26 expected goals for and 1.03 against, and had won 39% of their matches.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 0.99 expected goals for and 1.54 against, and had won 34% of their matches.
Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: the match in numbers
| Lanús | Match statistics | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Ball possession | 55% |
| 0.81 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.16 |
| 13 | Total shots | 15 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 1 | Big chances | 2 |
| 406 | Total passes | 499 |
| 73% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 18 | Tackles | 16 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Facundo Lencioni (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Lanús
- Felipe Peña Biafore 7.8 1 assist
- Nahuel Losada 7.6
- Gonzalo Pérez 7.4
- Ronaldo Dejesús 7.3
- Sasha Marcich 7.3
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
- Facundo Lencioni 7.8
- Diego Mondino 7.2
- Esteban Fernández 7.2
- Luciano Cingolani 7.2
- Matías Recalde 7.2
The lowest-rated starter was Matías Sepúlveda at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Lanús: River Plate vs Lanús Sunday 22 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Sunday 22 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
What was the score in Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Lanús 1-1 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (half-time 1-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Gonzalo Thomás Lobos 45+4'.
Did Moneyball predict Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza correctly?
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Lanús win the likeliest outcome (56%), and a draw, at 26%, is what happened.
Who was man of the match in Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Facundo Lencioni, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
P. Echavarría.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.