La Louvière 0-1 Cercle Brugge: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Belgian Pro League Matchday 11 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Stade du Tivoli, La Louvière · referee W. Smet · full time
Full time: La Louvière 0-1 Cercle Brugge
La Louvière 0-1 Cercle Brugge: Cercle Brugge took the points in Belgian Pro League Matchday 11 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Stade du Tivoli. The goals: Steve Ngoura 6'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Cercle Brugge won it
The opening goal came in the 6th minute: Steve Ngoura for Cercle Brugge, set up by Gary Magnée.
It was 0-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, W. Smet, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to La Louvière and 2 to Cercle Brugge. Mustapha Isah missed a penalty for La Louvière in the 45 minute. Léandro Rousseau missed a penalty for La Louvière in the 80 minute.
La Louvière: E. Still, 5-3-2 · Cercle Brugge: P. Faria Caixinha, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a La Louvière win at 40% and gave a Cercle Brugge win 36%; the match went the other way.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.4 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 67%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.16 for La Louvière and 3.57 for Cercle Brugge.
La Louvière scored about 2.2 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Cercle Brugge left about 2.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected La Louvière to create more, and Cercle Brugge did.
La Louvière had 1 shot on target, Cercle Brugge 6.
La Louvière had 62% of the ball, but Cercle Brugge took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
La Louvière came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.45 expected goals for and 2.17 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
Cercle Brugge came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.41 expected goals for and 1.84 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge: the match in numbers
| La Louvière | Match statistics | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| 62% | Ball possession | 38% |
| 2.16 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.57 |
| 16 | Total shots | 11 |
| 1 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 3 | Big chances | 3 |
| 498 | Total passes | 315 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 74% |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 12 | Tackles | 22 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Gary Magnée (Cercle Brugge), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.
La Louvière
- Marcos Peano 7.5
- Léandro Rousseau 7.1
- Shaquil Delos 7.0
- Nolan Gillot 7.0
- Mame Wade 6.8
Cercle Brugge
- Gary Magnée 8.3 1 assist
- Gaëtan Coucke 7.6
- Steve Ngoura 7.4 1 goal
- Royer Caicedo 7.4
- Geoffrey Kondo 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Mustapha Isah at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- La Louvière: Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
- Cercle Brugge: Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge
What was the score in La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?
La Louvière 0-1 Cercle Brugge (half-time 0-1), Belgian Pro League, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?
Steve Ngoura 6'.
Did Moneyball predict La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge correctly?
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a La Louvière win at 40% and gave a Cercle Brugge win 36%; the match went the other way.
Who was man of the match in La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?
Gary Magnée, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?
W. Smet.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.