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LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin

LA Galaxy won 4-1 at home to Austin in MLS on Saturday 31 October 2026. The goals: João Klauss 10', Hirving Lozano 38', Robert Taylor 48', Ervin Torres 54', Sergi Roberto 66'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How LA Galaxy won it

João Klauss put LA Galaxy ahead in the 10th minute, set up by Harbor Miller. Hirving Lozano made it 2-0 to LA Galaxy in the 38th minute, set up by Marco Reus. Robert Taylor made it 3-0 to LA Galaxy in the 48th minute, set up by Marco Reus. Ervin Torres made it 3-1 to Austin in the 54th minute, set up by Micah Burton. Sergi Roberto made it 4-1 to LA Galaxy in the 66th minute, set up by Marco Reus.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Žan Kolmanič of Austin was sent off in the 90th minute (+5). The referee, L. Szpala, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to LA Galaxy and 1 to Austin.

LA Galaxy: G. Vanney, 4-3-3 · Austin: D. Arnaud, 3-4-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a LA Galaxy win the most likely outcome at 51%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 4-1.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.2 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.59 for LA Galaxy and 3.02 for Austin.

LA Galaxy scored about 2.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Austin left about 2.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Austin created the better chances, 3.02 xG to 1.59, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected LA Galaxy to create more, and Austin did.

LA Galaxy had 10 shots on target, Austin 2.

Austin's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

LA Galaxy had 56% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

LA Galaxy came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.51 expected goals for and 2.06 against, and had won 32% of their matches.

Austin came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.92 against, and had won 24% of their matches.

LA Galaxy vs Austin: the match in numbers

LA GalaxyMatch statisticsAustin
56%Ball possession44%
1.59Expected goals (xG)3.02
18Total shots12
10Shots on target2
3Big chances2
556Total passes418
91%Pass accuracy89%
7Corners5
5Fouls8
1Offsides3
11Tackles10
1Saves6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Marco Reus (LA Galaxy), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 3 assists.

LA Galaxy

Austin

The lowest-rated starter was Christian Ramirez at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

Questions about LA Galaxy vs Austin

What was the score in LA Galaxy vs Austin?

LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin (half-time 2-0), MLS, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in LA Galaxy vs Austin?

João Klauss 10', Hirving Lozano 38', Robert Taylor 48', Ervin Torres 54', Sergi Roberto 66'.

Did Moneyball predict LA Galaxy vs Austin correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a LA Galaxy win the most likely outcome at 51%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 4-1.

Who was man of the match in LA Galaxy vs Austin?

Marco Reus, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed LA Galaxy vs Austin?

L. Szpala.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.