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KV Kortrijk 1-3 Mechelen: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: KV Kortrijk 1-3 Mechelen

Mechelen won 3-1 away at KV Kortrijk in Belgian Pro League Matchday 9 on Wednesday 4 November 2026. The goals: Thierry Ambrose 53', Myron van Brederode 69'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Mechelen won it

The opening goal came in the 53rd minute: Thierry Ambrose for KV Kortrijk, set up by Mohamed Fofana. Mechelen levelled at 1-1 in the 69th minute through Myron van Brederode. Mechelen turned it round: an own goal by Mohamed Fofana made it 1-2 in the 72nd minute. An own goal by Boris Lambert made it 1-3 to Mechelen in the 90th minute (+1).

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

James Ndjeungoue of KV Kortrijk was sent off in the 66th minute. The referee, B. Van Driessche, showed 6 yellow cards: 4 to KV Kortrijk and 2 to Mechelen.

KV Kortrijk: D. Beichler, 4-3-3 · Mechelen: F. Vanderbiest, 3-4-1-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A Mechelen win was the estimate's call at 40%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-2 was the likeliest, 1-3 the real one.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.5 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 46%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 52%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.36 for KV Kortrijk and 0.87 for Mechelen.

Mechelen made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 2.1 goals.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Mechelen to create more, and KV Kortrijk did.

KV Kortrijk had 4 shots on target, Mechelen 6.

KV Kortrijk's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Mechelen had 61% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

KV Kortrijk came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.14 expected goals for and 1.85 against, and had won 9% of their matches.

Mechelen came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and 1.58 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen: the match in numbers

KV KortrijkMatch statisticsMechelen
39%Ball possession61%
1.36Expected goals (xG)0.87
10Total shots12
4Shots on target6
3Big chances2
332Total passes531
74%Pass accuracy80%
2Corners4
18Fouls12
1Offsides1
13Tackles16
7Saves1
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Marko Ilic (KV Kortrijk), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

KV Kortrijk

Mechelen

The lowest-rated starter was James Ndjeungoue at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen

What was the score in KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen?

KV Kortrijk 1-3 Mechelen (half-time 0-0), Belgian Pro League, Wednesday 4 November 2026.

Who scored in KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen?

Thierry Ambrose 53', Myron van Brederode 69'.

Did Moneyball predict KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen correctly?

A Mechelen win was the estimate's call at 40%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-2 was the likeliest, 1-3 the real one.

Who was man of the match in KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen?

Marko Ilic, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen?

B. Van Driessche.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.