Internacional 1-0 Coritiba: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Internacional won it

The opening goal came in the 90th minute (+5): Alerrandro from the penalty spot for Internacional. It came late, and it settled the match.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Guillermo Maripán of Internacional was sent off in the 90th minute (+6). The referee, F. Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Internacional and 4 to Coritiba.

Internacional: E. Baptista, 3-4-2-1 · Coritiba: J. de Amorim Campos, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Internacional Win, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was an Internacional win at 57%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.9 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.54 for Internacional and 1.76 for Coritiba.

Coritiba left about 1.8 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Coritiba created the better chances, 1.76 xG to 0.54, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Internacional to create more, and Coritiba did.

Internacional had 6 shots on target, Coritiba 1.

Coritiba's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Internacional had 64% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Internacional came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 1.45 against, and had won 26% of their matches.

Coritiba came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.09 expected goals for and 1.74 against, and had won 32% of their matches.

Internacional vs Coritiba: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Juninho (Internacional), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Internacional

• Juninho 7.8
• Bruno Gomes 7.5
• Alerrandro 7.4 1 goal
• Vitinho 7.2
• Johan Carbonero 7.2

Coritiba

• Pedro Morisco 7.4
• Josué 7.1
• Jacy 7.0
• Breno Lopes 6.9
• Nicolás Fonseca 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Sebastián Gómez at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Internacional: Vasco da Gama vs Internacional Thursday 19 November 2026 · Brasileirão
• Coritiba: Coritiba vs Santos Wednesday 18 November 2026 · Brasileirão

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Internacional vs Coritiba

What was the score in Internacional vs Coritiba?

Internacional 1-0 Coritiba (half-time 0-0), Brasileirão, Wednesday 4 November 2026.

Who scored in Internacional vs Coritiba?

Alerrandro 90+5'.

Did Moneyball predict Internacional vs Coritiba correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Internacional Win, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Internacional vs Coritiba?

Juninho, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Internacional vs Coritiba?

F. Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho.