Instituto 1-0 Deportivo Riestra: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Instituto won it

The opening goal came in the 84th minute: Jeremías Lázaro from the penalty spot for Instituto.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, C. Gariano, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Instituto and 4 to Deportivo Riestra.

Instituto: D. Flores, 3-4-2-1 · Deportivo Riestra: G. Duró, 3-4-1-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Instituto -0.25, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was an Instituto win at 53%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-0 (17%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.0 expected, 1 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 32%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 36%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Instituto win at 50%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-26, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.17 for Instituto and 1.95 for Deportivo Riestra.

Deportivo Riestra left about 2.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Deportivo Riestra created the better chances, 1.95 xG to 0.17, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Instituto to create more, and Deportivo Riestra did.

Instituto had 4 shots on target, Deportivo Riestra 2.

Instituto had 75% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Instituto came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.40 expected goals for and 0.83 against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Deportivo Riestra came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 0.88 expected goals for and 0.97 against, and had won 9% of their matches.

Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jeremías Lázaro (Instituto), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Instituto

• Jeremías Lázaro 8.0 1 goal
• Leonel Mosevich 7.8
• Fernando Alarcón 7.4
• Matías Gallardo 7.3
• Hernán de la Fuente 7.3

Deportivo Riestra

• Cristian Paz 7.4
• Nicolás Benegas 6.8
• Carlos Quintana 6.8
• Pedro Ramírez 6.8
• Gabriel Obredor 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Facundo Miño at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Instituto: Instituto vs Huracán Monday 23 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra

What was the score in Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra?

Instituto 1-0 Deportivo Riestra (half-time 0-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Tuesday 27 October 2026.

Who scored in Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra?

Jeremías Lázaro 84'.

Did Moneyball predict Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Instituto -0.25, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra?

Jeremías Lázaro, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra?

C. Gariano.