Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 9 · Friday 6 November 2026 · Volksparkstadion, Hamburg · referee Sven Jablonski · full time
Full time: Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach: Hamburger SV took the points in Bundesliga Matchday 9 on Friday 6 November 2026 at Volksparkstadion. The goals: Miro Muheim 11', Joe Scally 44', Shafiq Nandja 59', Albert Grønbæk 70'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Hamburger SV won it
Miro Muheim put Hamburger SV ahead in the 11th minute, set up by Albert Sambi Lokonga. Borussia Mönchengladbach levelled at 1-1 in the 44th minute through Joe Scally. Shafiq Nandja made it 2-1 to Hamburger SV in the 59th minute, set up by Albert Grønbæk. Albert Grønbæk made it 3-1 to Hamburger SV in the 70th minute.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Ko Itakura of Borussia Mönchengladbach was sent off in the 49th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, Sven Jablonski, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Hamburger SV and 2 to Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Hamburger SV: M. Polzin, 3-5-2 · Borussia Mönchengladbach: A. Blessin, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Hamburger SV 0.00, was right: 3-1 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Hamburger SV win at 38%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 4 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 64%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Hamburger SV win at 39%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.74 for Hamburger SV and 1.86 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Hamburger SV scored about 1.3 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Hamburger SV had 9 shots on target, Borussia Mönchengladbach 6.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Hamburger SV had 62% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Hamburger SV came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 44% of their matches.
Borussia Mönchengladbach came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.8 a match, with 1.65 expected goals for and 2.34 against, and had won 11% of their matches.
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: the match in numbers
| Hamburger SV | Match statistics | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| 62% | Ball possession | 38% |
| 1.74 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.86 |
| 18 | Total shots | 19 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 5 | Big chances | 2 |
| 553 | Total passes | 336 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 74% |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 17 | Tackles | 15 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Albert Grønbæk (Hamburger SV), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Hamburger SV
- Albert Grønbæk 9.0 1 goal, 1 assist
- Miro Muheim 7.5 1 goal
- Albert Sambi Lokonga 7.3 1 assist
- Sebastiaan Bornauw 7.3
- Daniel Heuer Fernandes 7.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Daniel Batz 7.5
- Florian Neuhaus 7.2
- Robin Hack 7.2
- Joe Scally 7.1 1 goal
- Isac Lidberg 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Ko Itakura at 5.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Hamburger SV: Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV Sunday 22 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- Borussia Mönchengladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
What was the score in Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (half-time 1-1), Bundesliga, Friday 6 November 2026.
Who scored in Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Miro Muheim 11', Joe Scally 44', Shafiq Nandja 59', Albert Grønbæk 70'.
Did Moneyball predict Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Hamburger SV 0.00, was right: 3-1 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Albert Grønbæk, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Sven Jablonski.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.