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Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax

Hajduk Split beat Ajax 2-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Stadion Poljud. The goals: Abdoulie Sanyang 37', Davy Klaassen 53', Marin Soticek 55'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Hajduk Split won it

Abdoulie Sanyang put Hajduk Split ahead in the 37th minute, set up by Marin Soticek. Ajax levelled at 1-1 in the 53rd minute through Davy Klaassen, set up by Thilo Kehrer. Marin Soticek made it 2-1 to Hajduk Split in the 55th minute, set up by Michele Sego.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, C. Ciochirca, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Hajduk Split and 1 to Ajax.

Hajduk Split: G. García García, 4-2-3-1 · Ajax: M. Sánchez Muñoz, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Ajax win at 49% and gave a Hajduk Split win 31%; the match went the other way.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 4.7 and the match produced three.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 84%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 81%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Hajduk Split had 8 shots on target, Ajax 4.

Ajax's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Ajax had 56% of the ball, but Hajduk Split took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Hajduk Split came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 0.81 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.

Ajax came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 3.02 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.

Hajduk Split vs Ajax: the match in numbers

Hajduk SplitMatch statisticsAjax
44%Ball possession56%
14Total shots12
8Shots on target4
3Big chances2
375Total passes474
82%Pass accuracy84%
4Corners5
20Fouls13
6Offsides1
30Tackles14
3Saves6
2Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Marin Soticek (Hajduk Split), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Hajduk Split

Ajax

The lowest-rated starter was Youri Baas at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Hajduk Split vs Ajax

What was the score in Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax (half-time 1-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

Abdoulie Sanyang 37', Davy Klaassen 53', Marin Soticek 55'.

Did Moneyball predict Hajduk Split vs Ajax correctly?

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Ajax win at 49% and gave a Hajduk Split win 31%; the match went the other way.

Who was man of the match in Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

Marin Soticek, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

C. Ciochirca.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.