MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Göztepe 1-2 İstanbul Başakşehir: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Göztepe 1-2 İstanbul Başakşehir

Göztepe 1-2 İstanbul Başakşehir: İstanbul Başakşehir took the points in Süper Lig Matchday 11 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir). The goals: Juan 18', Davie Selke 22', Edin Visca 83'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How İstanbul Başakşehir won it

Göztepe struck first through Juan in the 18th minute. İstanbul Başakşehir levelled at 1-1 in the 22nd minute through Davie Selke, set up by Ivan Brnic. İstanbul Başakşehir turned it round: Edin Visca made it 1-2 in the 83rd minute, set up by Onur Bulut.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, ?. Altay, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Göztepe and 2 to İstanbul Başakşehir.

Göztepe: S. Stoilov, 3-4-1-2 · İstanbul Başakşehir: N. Şahin, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Göztepe win at 50%; a İstanbul Başakşehir win, at 27%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 63%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Göztepe win at 47%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.79 for Göztepe and 2.14 for İstanbul Başakşehir.

Göztepe had 4 shots on target, İstanbul Başakşehir 5.

Göztepe had 51% of the ball, but İstanbul Başakşehir took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Göztepe came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.87 expected goals for and 1.74 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

İstanbul Başakşehir came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and 1.52 against, and had won 45% of their matches.

Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir: the match in numbers

GöztepeMatch statisticsİstanbul Başakşehir
51%Ball possession49%
1.79Expected goals (xG)2.14
19Total shots15
4Shots on target5
0Big chances2
348Total passes337
72%Pass accuracy69%
7Corners7
14Fouls8
3Offsides1
10Tackles16
3Saves3
2Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Juan (Göztepe), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Göztepe

İstanbul Başakşehir

The lowest-rated starter was Allan Godói at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir

What was the score in Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

Göztepe 1-2 İstanbul Başakşehir (half-time 1-1), Süper Lig, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

Juan 18', Davie Selke 22', Edin Visca 83'.

Did Moneyball predict Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.

Who was man of the match in Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

Juan, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

?. Altay.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.