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Fenerbahçe 1-2 Göztepe: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Fenerbahçe 1-2 Göztepe

Göztepe beat Fenerbahçe 2-1 in Süper Lig Matchday 10 on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. The goals: Mattéo Guendouzi 45+1', Sinclair Armstrong 76', André Henrique 78'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Göztepe won it

Fenerbahçe struck first through Mattéo Guendouzi in the 45th minute (+1), set up by Romelu Lukaku. Göztepe levelled at 1-1 in the 76th minute through Sinclair Armstrong. Göztepe turned it round: André Henrique made it 1-2 in the 78th minute, set up by Tino Anjorin.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, O. Çakır, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Fenerbahçe and 4 to Göztepe.

Fenerbahçe: D. Kuijt, 4-2-3-1 · Göztepe: S. Stoilov, 3-4-1-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A miss for the model: 68% for a Fenerbahçe win, 15% for a Göztepe win, and football chose the second. At 15%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 7.

On goals the estimate was close: about 4.0 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 76%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 67%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.07 for Fenerbahçe and 1.63 for Göztepe.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Fenerbahçe to create more, and Göztepe did.

Fenerbahçe had 6 shots on target, Göztepe 6.

Göztepe's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Fenerbahçe had 66% of the ball, but Göztepe took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Fenerbahçe came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 2.6 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 2.09 expected goals for and 1.19 against, and had won 55% of their matches.

Göztepe came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.87 expected goals for and 1.74 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe: the match in numbers

FenerbahçeMatch statisticsGöztepe
66%Ball possession34%
1.07Expected goals (xG)1.63
18Total shots12
6Shots on target6
3Big chances3
530Total passes259
83%Pass accuracy68%
5Corners8
8Fouls19
1Offsides1
15Tackles11
4Saves5
2Yellow cards4

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Arda Özçimen (Göztepe), rated 7.4 by Sportmonks.

Fenerbahçe

Göztepe

The lowest-rated starter was Nélson Semedo at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe

What was the score in Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?

Fenerbahçe 1-2 Göztepe (half-time 1-0), Süper Lig, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?

Mattéo Guendouzi 45+1', Sinclair Armstrong 76', André Henrique 78'.

Did Moneyball predict Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe correctly?

A miss for the model: 68% for a Fenerbahçe win, 15% for a Göztepe win, and football chose the second. At 15%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 7.

Who was man of the match in Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?

Arda Özçimen, rated 7.4 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?

O. Çakır.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.