Famalicão 1-0 Arouca: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Portugal Matchday 11 · Friday 6 November 2026 · Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão · referee G. Fernandes Correia · full time
Full time: Famalicão 1-0 Arouca
Famalicão 1-0 Arouca: Famalicão took the points in Liga Portugal Matchday 11 on Friday 6 November 2026 at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho. The goals: Paulo Moreira 90+6'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Famalicão won it
Famalicão struck first through Paulo Moreira in the 90th minute (+6). A late goal, and the one that decided the result.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, G. Fernandes Correia, showed 5 yellow cards: 2 to Famalicão and 3 to Arouca.
Famalicão: R. Ferreira Pinto da Silva, 4-2-3-1 · Arouca: Vítor José Santos Severino, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Arouca win at 37% and gave a Famalicão win 32%; the match went the other way.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.2 expected, 1 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 37%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 44%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.38 for Famalicão and 1.11 for Arouca.
Arouca left about 1.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Famalicão had 5 shots on target, Arouca 3.
Famalicão had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Famalicão came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.87 expected goals for and 1.22 against, and had won 27% of their matches.
Arouca came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.18 against, and had won 55% of their matches.
Famalicão vs Arouca: the match in numbers
| Famalicão | Match statistics | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 53% | Ball possession | 47% |
| 0.38 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.11 |
| 14 | Total shots | 7 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 521 | Total passes | 481 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 18 | Tackles | 13 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Roméo Beney (Famalicão), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Famalicão
- Roméo Beney 7.6
- Pedro Bondo 7.5
- Tom van de Looi 7.3
- Mathias de Amorim 7.3
- Paulo Moreira 7.3 1 goal
Arouca
- Javi Sánchez 7.3
- Naïs Djouahra 7.1
- Taichi Fukui 7.1
- Ignacio de Arruabarrena 7.0
- José Fontán 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Alfonso Trezza at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
Questions about Famalicão vs Arouca
What was the score in Famalicão vs Arouca?
Famalicão 1-0 Arouca (half-time 0-0), Liga Portugal, Friday 6 November 2026.
Who scored in Famalicão vs Arouca?
Paulo Moreira 90+6'.
Did Moneyball predict Famalicão vs Arouca correctly?
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Arouca win at 37% and gave a Famalicão win 32%; the match went the other way.
Who was man of the match in Famalicão vs Arouca?
Roméo Beney, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Famalicão vs Arouca?
G. Fernandes Correia.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.