Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October 2026 · Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb · referee M. Lukjančukas · full time
Full time: Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen beat Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 in Europa League Matchday 3 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Stadion Maksimir. The goals: Clement Mutahi Bischoff 25', Dion Beljo 33', Dion Beljo 37', Bryan Linssen 45', Bryan Linssen 54', Tjaronn Chery 80'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How NEC Nijmegen won it
NEC Nijmegen struck first through Clement Mutahi Bischoff in the 25th minute, set up by Noé Lebreton. Dinamo Zagreb levelled at 1-1 in the 33rd minute through Dion Beljo, set up by Matteo Pérez Vinlöf. Dinamo Zagreb turned it round: Dion Beljo made it 2-1 in the 37th minute, set up by Niko Galesic. NEC Nijmegen levelled at 2-2 in the 45th minute through Bryan Linssen, set up by Clement Mutahi Bischoff. NEC Nijmegen turned it round: Bryan Linssen made it 2-3 in the 54th minute. Tjaronn Chery made it 2-4 to NEC Nijmegen in the 80th minute.
It was 2-2 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Dion Beljo scored twice.
Bryan Linssen scored twice.
The lead changed hands 2 times.
The referee, M. Lukjančukas, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Dinamo Zagreb and 2 to NEC Nijmegen.
Dinamo Zagreb: M. Kovačević, 4-1-4-1 · NEC Nijmegen: D. Schreuder, 3-4-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 3.00, was right: 2-4 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Dinamo Zagreb win at 51%; a NEC Nijmegen win, at 26%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.3 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 63%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Dinamo Zagreb win at 53%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Dinamo Zagreb had 10 shots on target, NEC Nijmegen 5.
NEC Nijmegen's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
Dinamo Zagreb had 58% of the ball, but NEC Nijmegen took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Dinamo Zagreb came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.61 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.
NEC Nijmegen came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.61 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: the match in numbers
| Dinamo Zagreb | Match statistics | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Ball possession | 42% |
| 16 | Total shots | 15 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 7 | Big chances | 3 |
| 516 | Total passes | 361 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 15 | Tackles | 25 |
| 1 | Saves | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Tjaronn Chery (NEC Nijmegen), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Dinamo Zagreb
- Dion Beljo 8.5 2 goals
- Josip Misic 7.3
- Dani Rodríguez 6.8
- Scott McKenna 6.8
- Niko Galesic 6.7 1 assist
NEC Nijmegen
- Tjaronn Chery 8.6 1 goal
- Clement Mutahi Bischoff 8.2 1 goal, 1 assist
- Bryan Linssen 7.9 2 goals
- Noé Lebreton 7.9 1 assist
- Gonzalo Crettaz 7.5
The lowest-rated starter was Luka Stojkovic at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Dinamo Zagreb: Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
- NEC Nijmegen: NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Saturday 21 November 2026 · Eredivisie
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen
What was the score in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen (half-time 2-2), Europa League, Thursday 22 October 2026.
Who scored in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Clement Mutahi Bischoff 25', Dion Beljo 33', Dion Beljo 37', Bryan Linssen 45', Bryan Linssen 54', Tjaronn Chery 80'.
Did Moneyball predict Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 3.00, was right: 2-4 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Tjaronn Chery, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
M. Lukjančukas.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.