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Dallas 3-1 Colorado Rapids: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Dallas 3-1 Colorado Rapids

Dallas beat Colorado Rapids 3-1 in MLS on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Toyota Stadium. The goals: Morgan Whittaker 47', Joaquín Valiente 75', Kaick 88', Santiago Moreno 90+2'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Dallas won it

Morgan Whittaker put Colorado Rapids ahead in the 47th minute, set up by Georgi Minoungou. Dallas levelled at 1-1 in the 75th minute through Joaquín Valiente, set up by Kaick. Dallas turned it round: Kaick made it 2-1 in the 88th minute, set up by Nolan Norris. Santiago Moreno made it 3-1 to Dallas in the 90th minute (+2), set up by Logan Farrington.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, D. Fischer, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to Dallas and 3 to Colorado Rapids.

Dallas: E. Quill, 3-5-2 · Colorado Rapids: M. Wells, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Dallas win the most likely outcome at 41%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-1.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.7 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 50%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.60 for Dallas and 5.06 for Colorado Rapids.

Dallas scored about 2.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Colorado Rapids left about 4.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Colorado Rapids created the better chances, 5.06 xG to 0.60, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Dallas to create more, and Colorado Rapids did.

Dallas had 10 shots on target, Colorado Rapids 1.

Colorado Rapids's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Dallas had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Dallas came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.65 expected goals for and 1.40 against, and had won 47% of their matches.

Colorado Rapids came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.49 expected goals for and 1.34 against, and had won 35% of their matches.

Dallas vs Colorado Rapids: the match in numbers

DallasMatch statisticsColorado Rapids
51%Ball possession49%
0.60Expected goals (xG)5.06
27Total shots6
10Shots on target1
7Big chances1
443Total passes438
80%Pass accuracy81%
6Corners4
11Fouls13
4Offsides4
10Tackles14
0Saves7
0Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Kaick (Dallas), rated 8.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Dallas

Colorado Rapids

The lowest-rated starter was Petar Musa at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Dallas vs Colorado Rapids

What was the score in Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?

Dallas 3-1 Colorado Rapids (half-time 0-0), MLS, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?

Morgan Whittaker 47', Joaquín Valiente 75', Kaick 88', Santiago Moreno 90+2'.

Did Moneyball predict Dallas vs Colorado Rapids correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Dallas win the most likely outcome at 41%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-1.

Who was man of the match in Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?

Kaick, rated 8.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?

D. Fischer.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.