Charlton Athletic 0-1 Bolton Wanderers: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Championship Matchday 14 · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · The Valley, London · referee S. Martin · full time
Full time: Charlton Athletic 0-1 Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers won 1-0 away at Charlton Athletic in Championship Matchday 14 on Tuesday 3 November 2026. The goals: Sam Dalby 18'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Bolton Wanderers won it
The opening goal came in the 18th minute: Sam Dalby for Bolton Wanderers.
It was 0-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, S. Martin, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Charlton Athletic and 1 to Bolton Wanderers.
Charlton Athletic: N. Jones, 4-2-3-1 · Bolton Wanderers: S. Schumacher, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Charlton Athletic win at 41% and gave a Bolton Wanderers win 33%; the match went the other way.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.9 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.28 for Charlton Athletic and 1.12 for Bolton Wanderers.
Charlton Athletic scored about 1.3 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Charlton Athletic had 2 shots on target, Bolton Wanderers 3.
Charlton Athletic had 57% of the ball, but Bolton Wanderers took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Charlton Athletic came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.09 expected goals for and 1.57 against, and had won 27% of their matches.
Bolton Wanderers came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.44 expected goals for and 1.98 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers: the match in numbers
| Charlton Athletic | Match statistics | Bolton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | Ball possession | 43% |
| 1.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.12 |
| 14 | Total shots | 11 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 1 | Big chances | 1 |
| 462 | Total passes | 355 |
| 73% | Pass accuracy | 70% |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 15 | Tackles | 20 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Chris Forino (Bolton Wanderers), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Charlton Athletic
- Conor Coventry 7.6
- Tyreece Campbell 7.3
- Danny McNamara 7.3
- Billy Koumetio 7.2
- Amari'i Bell 7.0
Bolton Wanderers
- Chris Forino 7.7
- Akin Famewo 7.3
- Max Conway 7.2
- Sam Dalby 7.2 1 goal
- Luca Stephenson 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Max Matthew Lott at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Charlton Athletic: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
- Bolton Wanderers: Bolton Wanderers vs Portsmouth Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers
What was the score in Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers?
Charlton Athletic 0-1 Bolton Wanderers (half-time 0-1), Championship, Tuesday 3 November 2026.
Who scored in Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers?
Sam Dalby 18'.
Did Moneyball predict Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers correctly?
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Charlton Athletic win at 41% and gave a Bolton Wanderers win 33%; the match went the other way.
Who was man of the match in Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers?
Chris Forino, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers?
S. Martin.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.