CF Montréal 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
MLS · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Stade Saputo, Montreal · referee M. de Oliveira · full time
Full time: CF Montréal 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps beat CF Montréal 2-0 in MLS on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Stade Saputo. The goals: Cheikh Sabaly 50', Mihail Gherasimencov 83'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Vancouver Whitecaps won it
Cheikh Sabaly put Vancouver Whitecaps ahead in the 50th minute. Mihail Gherasimencov made it 0-2 to Vancouver Whitecaps in the 83rd minute, set up by Bruno Caicedo.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, M. de Oliveira, showed 5 yellow cards: 2 to CF Montréal and 3 to Vancouver Whitecaps.
CF Montréal: P. Eullaffroy, 4-2-3-1 · Vancouver Whitecaps: J. Sørensen, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A Vancouver Whitecaps win was the estimate's call at 62%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-2 was the likeliest, 0-2 the real one.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.2 and the match produced two.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.61 for CF Montréal and 0.66 for Vancouver Whitecaps.
CF Montréal scored about 1.6 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Vancouver Whitecaps made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.3 goals.
CF Montréal created the better chances, 1.61 xG to 0.66, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Vancouver Whitecaps to create more, and CF Montréal did.
CF Montréal had 3 shots on target, Vancouver Whitecaps 8.
CF Montréal's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Vancouver Whitecaps had 64% of the ball and turned it into the win.
CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps: the match in numbers
| CF Montréal | Match statistics | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|
| 36% | Ball possession | 64% |
| 1.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.66 |
| 8 | Total shots | 17 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 1 | Big chances | 5 |
| 336 | Total passes | 597 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 20 | Tackles | 21 |
| 6 | Saves | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Cheikh Sabaly (Vancouver Whitecaps), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
CF Montréal
- Wikelman José Carmona Torres 7.5
- Samsy Keita 7.5
- Dawid Bugaj 6.9
- Brayan Vera 6.9
- Fabian Herbers 6.7
Vancouver Whitecaps
- Cheikh Sabaly 8.6 1 goal
- Mihail Gherasimencov 8.0 1 goal
- Aleksa Cvetković 7.8
- Ralph Priso 7.6
- Bruno Caicedo 7.6 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Rayan Elloumi at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Vancouver Whitecaps: Vancouver Whitecaps vs TBC Monday 23 November 2026 · MLS
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
What was the score in CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
CF Montréal 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps (half-time 0-0), MLS, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Cheikh Sabaly 50', Mihail Gherasimencov 83'.
Did Moneyball predict CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps correctly?
A Vancouver Whitecaps win was the estimate's call at 62%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-2 was the likeliest, 0-2 the real one.
Who was man of the match in CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Cheikh Sabaly, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
M. de Oliveira.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.