Celtic 1-2 Celta de Vigo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Celta de Vigo won it

Mika Baur put Celtic ahead in the 47th minute. Celta de Vigo levelled at 1-1 in the 68th minute through Javi Rodríguez, set up by Hugo Álvarez. Celta de Vigo turned it round: Javi Rodríguez made it 1-2 in the 71st minute.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Javi Rodríguez scored twice.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, G. Kabakov, showed 5 yellow cards: 5 to Celtic and 0 to Celta de Vigo.

Celtic: M. O'Neill, 4-2-3-1 · Celta de Vigo: C. Giráldez González, 3-4-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 1-2 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Celta de Vigo win at 40%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.6 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 49%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 54%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Celta de Vigo win at 39%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Celtic had 4 shots on target, Celta de Vigo 4.

Celta de Vigo had 56% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Celtic came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.8 a match, with 1.13 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Celta de Vigo came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.20 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Celtic vs Celta de Vigo: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Javi Rodríguez (Celta de Vigo), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Celtic

• Mika Baur 7.3 1 goal
• Colby Donovan 7.2
• Callum McGregor 7.1
• Dane Murray 7.1
• Callum Osmand 7.0

Celta de Vigo

• Javi Rodríguez 8.9 2 goals
• Hugo Álvarez 7.6 1 assist
• Sergio Carreira 7.4
• Iago Aspas 7.3
• Hugo Burcio 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Benjamin Nygren at 6.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Celtic: Torreense vs Celtic Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
• Celta de Vigo: Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Celtic vs Celta de Vigo

What was the score in Celtic vs Celta de Vigo?

Celtic 1-2 Celta de Vigo (half-time 0-0), Europa League, Thursday 22 October 2026.

Who scored in Celtic vs Celta de Vigo?

Mika Baur 47', Javi Rodríguez 68', Javi Rodríguez 71'.

Did Moneyball predict Celtic vs Celta de Vigo correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 1-2 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Celtic vs Celta de Vigo?

Javi Rodríguez, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Celtic vs Celta de Vigo?

G. Kabakov.