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Celta de Vigo 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Celta de Vigo 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise

Union Saint-Gilloise won 2-1 away at Celta de Vigo in Europa League Matchday 4 on Thursday 5 November 2026. The goals: Pablo Durán 11', Besfort Zeneli 35', Besfort Zeneli 49'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Union Saint-Gilloise won it

Pablo Durán put Celta de Vigo ahead in the 11th minute, set up by Sergio Carreira. Union Saint-Gilloise levelled at 1-1 in the 35th minute through Besfort Zeneli, set up by Adem Zorgane. Union Saint-Gilloise turned it round: Besfort Zeneli made it 1-2 in the 49th minute, set up by Kevin Rodríguez.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Besfort Zeneli scored twice.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, ?. Ağayev, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Celta de Vigo and 1 to Union Saint-Gilloise. Besfort Zeneli missed a penalty for Union Saint-Gilloise in the 80 minute.

Celta de Vigo: C. Giráldez González, 3-4-3 · Union Saint-Gilloise: D. Hubert, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Celta de Vigo win at 43%; an Union Saint-Gilloise win, at 32%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Celta de Vigo win at 44%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Celta de Vigo had 4 shots on target, Union Saint-Gilloise 3.

Celta de Vigo had 59% of the ball, but Union Saint-Gilloise took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Celta de Vigo came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.20 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Union Saint-Gilloise came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 2.49 expected goals for and – against, and had won 75% of their matches.

Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise: the match in numbers

Celta de VigoMatch statisticsUnion Saint-Gilloise
59%Ball possession41%
13Total shots15
4Shots on target3
1Big chances2
600Total passes417
88%Pass accuracy83%
11Corners1
17Fouls11
1Offsides1
15Tackles19
1Saves3
1Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Pablo Durán (Celta de Vigo), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Celta de Vigo

Union Saint-Gilloise

The lowest-rated starter was Javi Rueda at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise

What was the score in Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Celta de Vigo 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise (half-time 1-1), Europa League, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Pablo Durán 11', Besfort Zeneli 35', Besfort Zeneli 49'.

Did Moneyball predict Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.

Who was man of the match in Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Pablo Durán, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

?. Ağayev.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.