Casa Pia 0-2 Sporting CP: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Sporting CP won it

Pedro Lima put Sporting CP ahead in the 13th minute, set up by Iván Fresneda Corraliza. Geny Catamo made it 0-2 to Sporting CP in the 90th minute (+4), set up by Iván Fresneda Corraliza.

It was 0-1 at half-time.

The referee, M. Monteiro Fonseca, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Casa Pia and 2 to Sporting CP.

Casa Pia: F. Curto Coelho, 4-2-3-1 · Sporting CP: R. Gomes Borges, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A Sporting CP win was the estimate's call at 65%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-2 was the likeliest, 0-2 the real one.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 50%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-30, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.03 for Casa Pia and 0.67 for Sporting CP.

Casa Pia scored about 2.0 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Sporting CP made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.3 goals.

Casa Pia created the better chances, 2.03 xG to 0.67, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Sporting CP to create more, and Casa Pia did.

Casa Pia had 2 shots on target, Sporting CP 11.

Casa Pia's goalkeeper made 9 saves.

Sporting CP had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Casa Pia came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 0.90 expected goals for and 1.71 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Sporting CP came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.92 expected goals for and 0.88 against, and had won 64% of their matches.

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Iván Fresneda Corraliza (Sporting CP), rated 9.2 by Sportmonks, with 2 assists.

Casa Pia

• Patrick Sequeira 8.1
• David Sousa 7.3
• Kaly 7.0
• João Rego 7.0
• Pedro Rosas 6.9

Sporting CP

• Iván Fresneda Corraliza 9.2 2 assists
• Pedro Lima 8.0 1 goal
• Gonçalo Inácio 7.7
• Geny Catamo 7.6 1 goal
• Maxi Araújo 7.5

The lowest-rated starter was André Geraldes at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Sporting CP: Sporting CP vs Manchester United Wednesday 25 November 2026 · Champions League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Casa Pia vs Sporting CP

What was the score in Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

Casa Pia 0-2 Sporting CP (half-time 0-1), Liga Portugal, Friday 30 October 2026.

Who scored in Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

Pedro Lima 13', Geny Catamo 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict Casa Pia vs Sporting CP correctly?

A Sporting CP win was the estimate's call at 65%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-2 was the likeliest, 0-2 the real one.

Who was man of the match in Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

Iván Fresneda Corraliza, rated 9.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

M. Monteiro Fonseca.