Cagliari 0-2 Bologna: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Bologna won it

The opening goal came in the 57th minute: Nicolò Casale for Bologna, set up by Juan Miranda. Federico Bernardeschi from the penalty spot made it 0-2 to Bologna in the 80th minute.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, K. Bonacina, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to Cagliari and 1 to Bologna.

Cagliari: F. Pisacane, 4-3-2-1 · Bologna: R. Palladino, 3-4-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25. On 0-2 it was half right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Bologna win at 44%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.2 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 38%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 45%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Bologna win at 39%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-24, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.48 for Cagliari and 0.64 for Bologna.

Cagliari scored about 1.5 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Bologna made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.4 goals.

Cagliari created the better chances, 1.48 xG to 0.64, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Bologna to create more, and Cagliari did.

Cagliari had 1 shot on target, Bologna 5.

Cagliari had 57% of the ball, but Bologna took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Cagliari came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.17 expected goals for and 1.82 against, and had won 45% of their matches.

Bologna came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.63 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 45% of their matches.

Cagliari vs Bologna: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Nicolò Casale (Bologna), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Cagliari

• Paul Mendy 7.0
• Elia Caprile 6.7
• Harry Winks 6.7
• Michel Adopo 6.6
• Alieu Fadera 6.6

Bologna

• Nicolò Casale 7.9 1 goal
• Federico Bernardeschi 7.5 1 goal
• Juan Miranda 7.4 1 assist
• Lewis Ferguson 7.3
• Marco Libra 7.1

The lowest-rated starter was Zé Pedro at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Cagliari: Como vs Cagliari Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
• Bologna: Bologna vs Udinese Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Cagliari vs Bologna

What was the score in Cagliari vs Bologna?

Cagliari 0-2 Bologna (half-time 0-0), Serie A, Saturday 24 October 2026.

Who scored in Cagliari vs Bologna?

Nicolò Casale 57', Federico Bernardeschi 80'.

Did Moneyball predict Cagliari vs Bologna correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25. On 0-2 it was half right.

Who was man of the match in Cagliari vs Bologna?

Nicolò Casale, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Cagliari vs Bologna?

K. Bonacina.