Bristol City 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Championship Matchday 14 · Wednesday 4 November 2026 · Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol · referee T. Nield · full time
Full time: Bristol City 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bristol City 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers: Wolverhampton Wanderers took the points in Championship Matchday 14 on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at Ashton Gate Stadium. The goals: Scott Twine 34', Sean Neave 82', Sean Neave 89'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Wolverhampton Wanderers won it
Bristol City struck first through Scott Twine in the 34th minute. Wolverhampton Wanderers levelled at 1-1 in the 82nd minute through Sean Neave. Wolverhampton Wanderers turned it round: Sean Neave made it 1-2 in the 89th minute, set up by Ladislav Krejci. It came late, and it settled the match.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.
Sean Neave scored twice.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, T. Nield, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Bristol City and 1 to Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Bristol City: M. Skubala, 4-2-3-1 · Wolverhampton Wanderers: P. da Silva Peixoto, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 1-2 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win at 48%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.6 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 49%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 53%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Wolverhampton Wanderers win at 43%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.52 for Bristol City and 0.71 for Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Bristol City scored about 1.5 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Wolverhampton Wanderers made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.3 goals.
Bristol City created the better chances, 2.52 xG to 0.71, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Wolverhampton Wanderers to create more, and Bristol City did.
Bristol City had 3 shots on target, Wolverhampton Wanderers 8.
Bristol City's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Wolverhampton Wanderers had 62% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Bristol City came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 1.58 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Wolverhampton Wanderers came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 0.93 against, and had won 53% of their matches.
Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: the match in numbers
| Bristol City | Match statistics | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 38% | Ball possession | 62% |
| 2.52 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.71 |
| 5 | Total shots | 17 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 1 | Big chances | 4 |
| 338 | Total passes | 552 |
| 73% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 23 | Tackles | 18 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Ladislav Krejci (Wolverhampton Wanderers), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.
Bristol City
- Scott Twine 7.6 1 goal
- George Tanner 7.1
- Brad Collins 6.9
- Rio Cardines 6.9
- Joe Williams 6.6
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Ladislav Krejci 8.7 1 assist
- Sean Neave 8.5 2 goals
- Yerson Mosquera 7.5
- Kieran Trippier 7.3
- Rafiki Saïd 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Luke McNally at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Bristol City: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
- Wolverhampton Wanderers: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
What was the score in Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Bristol City 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers (half-time 1-0), Championship, Wednesday 4 November 2026.
Who scored in Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Scott Twine 34', Sean Neave 82', Sean Neave 89'.
Did Moneyball predict Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 1-2 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Ladislav Krejci, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
T. Nield.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.