Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Elversberg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 9 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund · referee H. Osmers · full time
Full time: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Elversberg
Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Elversberg: Borussia Dortmund took the points in Bundesliga Matchday 9 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Signal Iduna Park. The goals: Felix Nmecha 55', Felix Nmecha 71', Noel Futkeu 81'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.
How Borussia Dortmund won it
The opening goal came in the 55th minute: Felix Nmecha for Borussia Dortmund, set up by Fábio Silva. Felix Nmecha made it 2-0 to Borussia Dortmund in the 71st minute, set up by Maximilian Beier. Noel Futkeu made it 2-1 to Elversberg in the 81st minute, set up by Florian Le Joncour.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Felix Nmecha scored twice.
The referee, H. Osmers, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Borussia Dortmund and 2 to Elversberg.
Borussia Dortmund: N. Kovač, 4-3-3 · Elversberg: V. Wagner, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25. On 2-1 it was half right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Borussia Dortmund win at 68%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%), exactly the final score.
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.4 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 66%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 58%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Borussia Dortmund win at 72%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.43 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.64 for Elversberg.
Borussia Dortmund had 6 shots on target, Elversberg 7.
Borussia Dortmund's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Borussia Dortmund had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Borussia Dortmund came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.55 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 67% of their matches.
Elversberg came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 2.23 against, and had won 44% of their matches.
Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg: the match in numbers
| Borussia Dortmund | Match statistics | Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| 51% | Ball possession | 49% |
| 1.43 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.64 |
| 19 | Total shots | 16 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 1 | Big chances | 2 |
| 452 | Total passes | 436 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 16 | Tackles | 22 |
| 6 | Saves | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Felix Nmecha (Borussia Dortmund), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Borussia Dortmund
- Felix Nmecha 9.0 2 goals
- Gregor Kobel 7.5
- Jobe Bellingham 7.2
- Nico Schlotterbeck 7.2
- Waldemar Anton 7.0
Elversberg
- Felix Keidel 7.8
- Lukas Petkov 7.5
- Noel Futkeu 7.3 1 goal
- Nicolas Kristof 7.2
- Maximilian Rohr 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Francis Onyeka at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- Elversberg: Elversberg vs SC Freiburg Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg
What was the score in Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg?
Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Elversberg (half-time 0-0), Bundesliga, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg?
Felix Nmecha 55', Felix Nmecha 71', Noel Futkeu 81'.
Did Moneyball predict Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25. On 2-1 it was half right.
Who was man of the match in Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg?
Felix Nmecha, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg?
H. Osmers.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.