Birmingham City 3-0 Millwall: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Birmingham City won it

Alex Cochrane put Birmingham City ahead in the 1st minute. Max Bird made it 2-0 to Birmingham City in the 16th minute, set up by Jhon Solís. Jay Stansfield made it 3-0 to Birmingham City in the 29th minute, set up by Max Bird.

It was 3-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, D. Webb, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Birmingham City and 1 to Millwall.

Birmingham City: C. Davies, 4-2-3-1 · Millwall: A. Neil, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Birmingham City win the most likely outcome at 49%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-0.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.3 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 64%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.69 for Birmingham City and 1.73 for Millwall.

Birmingham City scored about 1.3 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Millwall left about 1.7 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Birmingham City had 9 shots on target, Millwall 2.

Millwall's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Birmingham City had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Birmingham City came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.89 expected goals for and 1.37 against, and had won 53% of their matches.

Millwall came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.86 expected goals for and 1.49 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Birmingham City vs Millwall: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Max Bird (Birmingham City), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Birmingham City

• Max Bird 7.9 1 goal, 1 assist
• Phil Neumann 7.8
• Jhon Solís 7.5 1 assist
• Christoph Klarer 7.4
• Alex Cochrane 7.4 1 goal

Millwall

• Camiel Neghli 7.1
• Lyndon Dykes 7.0
• Derek Mazou-Sacko 7.0
• Jake Cooper 7.0
• Max Crocombe 6.9

The lowest-rated starter was Zak Sturge at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Birmingham City: Stoke City vs Birmingham City Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
• Millwall: Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Birmingham City vs Millwall

What was the score in Birmingham City vs Millwall?

Birmingham City 3-0 Millwall (half-time 3-0), Championship, Tuesday 3 November 2026.

Who scored in Birmingham City vs Millwall?

Alex Cochrane 1', Max Bird 16', Jay Stansfield 29'.

Did Moneyball predict Birmingham City vs Millwall correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Birmingham City win the most likely outcome at 49%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 3-0.

Who was man of the match in Birmingham City vs Millwall?

Max Bird, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Birmingham City vs Millwall?

D. Webb.