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Beşiktaş 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Beşiktaş 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir

Beşiktaş won 2-0 at home to İstanbul Başakşehir in Süper Lig Matchday 9 on Monday 26 October 2026. The goals: Hyeon-gyu Oh 76', Junior Olaitan 89'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Beşiktaş won it

Hyeon-gyu Oh put Beşiktaş ahead in the 76th minute. Junior Olaitan made it 2-0 to Beşiktaş in the 89th minute.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, ?. Öztürk, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Beşiktaş and 2 to İstanbul Başakşehir.

Beşiktaş: V. Italiano, 4-1-4-1 · İstanbul Başakşehir: N. Şahin, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Besiktas Win, and on 2-0 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Beşiktaş win at 67%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.4 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 59%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Beşiktaş win at 67%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-26, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.56 for Beşiktaş and 2.07 for İstanbul Başakşehir.

Beşiktaş scored about 1.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

İstanbul Başakşehir left about 2.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

İstanbul Başakşehir created the better chances, 2.07 xG to 0.56, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Beşiktaş to create more, and İstanbul Başakşehir did.

Beşiktaş had 6 shots on target, İstanbul Başakşehir 4.

Beşiktaş had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Beşiktaş came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.89 expected goals for and 0.83 against, and had won 64% of their matches.

İstanbul Başakşehir came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and 1.52 against, and had won 45% of their matches.

Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir: the match in numbers

BeşiktaşMatch statisticsİstanbul Başakşehir
65%Ball possession35%
0.56Expected goals (xG)2.07
17Total shots9
6Shots on target4
3Big chances0
492Total passes266
87%Pass accuracy71%
5Corners2
9Fouls17
7Offsides3
12Tackles15
4Saves4
1Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Wilfred Ndidi (Beşiktaş), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Beşiktaş

İstanbul Başakşehir

The lowest-rated starter was Saba Kharebashvili at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir

What was the score in Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

Beşiktaş 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir (half-time 0-0), Süper Lig, Monday 26 October 2026.

Who scored in Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

Hyeon-gyu Oh 76', Junior Olaitan 89'.

Did Moneyball predict Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Besiktas Win, and on 2-0 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

Wilfred Ndidi, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

?. Öztürk.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.