Belgrano 2-2 Barracas Central: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Estadio Julio César Villagra, Ciudad de Córdoba · referee B.Ferreyra · full time
Full time: Belgrano 2-2 Barracas Central
Belgrano and Barracas Central drew 2-2 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Estadio Julio César Villagra. The goals: Lucas Passerini 27', Lucas Passerini 48', Esteban Rolón 80', Nicolás Demartini 90+6'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How the match unfolded
Belgrano struck first through Lucas Passerini in the 27th minute, set up by Emiliano Rigoni. Lucas Passerini made it 2-0 to Belgrano in the 48th minute, set up by Lucas Zelarayán. Esteban Rolón made it 2-1 to Barracas Central in the 80th minute. Barracas Central levelled at 2-2 in the 90th minute (+6) through Nicolás Demartini, set up by Rafael Barrios. A late equaliser, and a point saved.
Belgrano were two goals up and could not hold on: Barracas Central came back from two down for a draw.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Lucas Passerini scored twice.
The referee, B.Ferreyra, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Belgrano and 2 to Barracas Central.
Belgrano: R. Zielinski, 4-2-3-1 · Barracas Central: D. Ayude, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 2.00, was right: 2-2 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Belgrano win at 44%; a draw, at 30%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-0 (14%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.2 goals and there were 4.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 36%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 43%; both did, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Belgrano win at 46%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.42 for Belgrano and 1.75 for Barracas Central.
Belgrano had 6 shots on target, Barracas Central 9.
Belgrano's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
Barracas Central had 54% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Belgrano came into it with 36 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.22 expected goals for and 1.32 against, and had won 44% of their matches.
Barracas Central came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 0.99 expected goals for and 1.00 against, and had won 38% of their matches.
Belgrano vs Barracas Central: the match in numbers
| Belgrano | Match statistics | Barracas Central |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Ball possession | 54% |
| 1.42 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.75 |
| 12 | Total shots | 21 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 2 | Big chances | 2 |
| 348 | Total passes | 393 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
| 5 | Corners | 14 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 16 | Tackles | 11 |
| 7 | Saves | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Lucas Passerini (Belgrano), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Belgrano
- Lucas Passerini 8.9 2 goals
- Emiliano Rigoni 7.4 1 assist
- Lisandro López 7.4
- Thiago Cardozo 7.4
- Lucas Zelarayán 7.3 1 assist
Barracas Central
- Nicolás Demartini 8.3 1 goal
- Iván Tapia 7.6
- Esteban Rolón 7.3 1 goal
- Nicolás Orsini 7.0
- Rafael Barrios 6.9 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Gonzalo Maroni at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Belgrano: Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano Friday 20 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
- Barracas Central: Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central Saturday 21 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Belgrano vs Barracas Central
What was the score in Belgrano vs Barracas Central?
Belgrano 2-2 Barracas Central (half-time 1-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Belgrano vs Barracas Central?
Lucas Passerini 27', Lucas Passerini 48', Esteban Rolón 80', Nicolás Demartini 90+6'.
Did Moneyball predict Belgrano vs Barracas Central correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 2.00, was right: 2-2 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Belgrano vs Barracas Central?
Lucas Passerini, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Belgrano vs Barracas Central?
B.Ferreyra.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.