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Belgrano 2-2 Barracas Central: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Belgrano 2-2 Barracas Central

Belgrano and Barracas Central drew 2-2 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Estadio Julio César Villagra. The goals: Lucas Passerini 27', Lucas Passerini 48', Esteban Rolón 80', Nicolás Demartini 90+6'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How the match unfolded

Belgrano struck first through Lucas Passerini in the 27th minute, set up by Emiliano Rigoni. Lucas Passerini made it 2-0 to Belgrano in the 48th minute, set up by Lucas Zelarayán. Esteban Rolón made it 2-1 to Barracas Central in the 80th minute. Barracas Central levelled at 2-2 in the 90th minute (+6) through Nicolás Demartini, set up by Rafael Barrios. A late equaliser, and a point saved.

Belgrano were two goals up and could not hold on: Barracas Central came back from two down for a draw.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Lucas Passerini scored twice.

The referee, B.Ferreyra, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Belgrano and 2 to Barracas Central.

Belgrano: R. Zielinski, 4-2-3-1 · Barracas Central: D. Ayude, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 2.00, was right: 2-2 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Belgrano win at 44%; a draw, at 30%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-0 (14%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.2 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 36%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 43%; both did, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Belgrano win at 46%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.42 for Belgrano and 1.75 for Barracas Central.

Belgrano had 6 shots on target, Barracas Central 9.

Belgrano's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Barracas Central had 54% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Belgrano came into it with 36 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.22 expected goals for and 1.32 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

Barracas Central came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 0.99 expected goals for and 1.00 against, and had won 38% of their matches.

Belgrano vs Barracas Central: the match in numbers

BelgranoMatch statisticsBarracas Central
46%Ball possession54%
1.42Expected goals (xG)1.75
12Total shots21
6Shots on target9
2Big chances2
348Total passes393
79%Pass accuracy82%
5Corners14
12Fouls7
3Offsides1
16Tackles11
7Saves4
1Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Lucas Passerini (Belgrano), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Belgrano

Barracas Central

The lowest-rated starter was Gonzalo Maroni at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Belgrano vs Barracas Central

What was the score in Belgrano vs Barracas Central?

Belgrano 2-2 Barracas Central (half-time 1-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Belgrano vs Barracas Central?

Lucas Passerini 27', Lucas Passerini 48', Esteban Rolón 80', Nicolás Demartini 90+6'.

Did Moneyball predict Belgrano vs Barracas Central correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 2.00, was right: 2-2 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Belgrano vs Barracas Central?

Lucas Passerini, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Belgrano vs Barracas Central?

B.Ferreyra.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.