Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 6 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · BayArena, Leverkusen · referee F. Badstübner · full time
Full time: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2-1 at home to SC Freiburg in Bundesliga Matchday 6 on Sunday 18 October 2026. The goals: Derry Scherhant 14', Ibrahim Maza 19', Patrik Schick 76'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Bayer 04 Leverkusen won it
The opening goal came in the 14th minute: Derry Scherhant for SC Freiburg, set up by Philipp Treu. Bayer 04 Leverkusen levelled at 1-1 in the 19th minute through Ibrahim Maza, set up by Patrik Schick. Bayer 04 Leverkusen turned it round: Patrik Schick made it 2-1 in the 76th minute, set up by Ibrahim Maza.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, F. Badstübner, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1 to SC Freiburg.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: C. Martínez Novell, 4-2-3-1 · SC Freiburg: J. Schuster, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was SC Freiburg +0.75. On 2-1 it was half wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at 55%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.3 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 64%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 63%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at 56%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.12 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1.52 for SC Freiburg.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen had 5 shots on target, SC Freiburg 2.
SC Freiburg had 51% of the ball, but Bayer 04 Leverkusen took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Bayer 04 Leverkusen came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 2.00 expected goals for and 1.61 against, and had won 56% of their matches.
SC Freiburg came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.87 expected goals for and 1.07 against, and had won 67% of their matches.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: the match in numbers
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Match statistics | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | Ball possession | 51% |
| 1.12 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.52 |
| 12 | Total shots | 11 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 3 | Big chances | 4 |
| 491 | Total passes | 507 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 15 | Tackles | 14 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Patrik Schick (Bayer 04 Leverkusen), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Patrik Schick 8.1 1 goal, 1 assist
- Ibrahim Maza 8.0 1 goal, 1 assist
- Equi Fernández 7.3
- Aleix García 7.2
- Mark Flekken 7.0
SC Freiburg
- Derry Scherhant 7.5 1 goal
- Philipp Lienhart 7.3
- Philipp Treu 7.2 1 assist
- Igor Matanovic 6.9
- Maximilian Eggestein 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Moussa Diaby at 6.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- SC Freiburg: Elversberg vs SC Freiburg Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
What was the score in Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg (half-time 1-1), Bundesliga, Sunday 18 October 2026.
Who scored in Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Derry Scherhant 14', Ibrahim Maza 19', Patrik Schick 76'.
Did Moneyball predict Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was SC Freiburg +0.75. On 2-1 it was half wrong.
Who was man of the match in Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Patrik Schick, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
F. Badstübner.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.