Austin 0-2 Portland Timbers: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
MLS · Sunday 8 November 2026 · Q2 Stadium · referee V. Rivas · full time
Full time: Austin 0-2 Portland Timbers
Austin 0-2 Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers took the points in MLS on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Q2 Stadium. The goals: Ariel Lassiter 3', Kristoffer Velde 70'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Portland Timbers won it
Portland Timbers struck first through Ariel Lassiter in the 3rd minute, set up by Vincent Janssen. Kristoffer Velde made it 0-2 to Portland Timbers in the 70th minute, set up by Ian Smith.
It was 0-1 at half-time.
The referee, V. Rivas, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Austin and 0 to Portland Timbers.
Austin: D. Arnaud, 3-4-3 · Portland Timbers: M. Cifuentes Corvillo, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Portland Timbers win the most likely outcome at 48%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-2 rather than 0-2.
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 63%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.35 for Austin and 0.88 for Portland Timbers.
Portland Timbers made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.1 goals.
Austin had 7 shots on target, Portland Timbers 4.
Portland Timbers's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
Austin had 58% of the ball, but Portland Timbers took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Austin came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.92 against, and had won 24% of their matches.
Portland Timbers came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.52 expected goals for and 1.43 against, and had won 38% of their matches.
Austin vs Portland Timbers: the match in numbers
| Austin | Match statistics | Portland Timbers |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Ball possession | 42% |
| 0.35 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.88 |
| 16 | Total shots | 9 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 0 | Big chances | 1 |
| 520 | Total passes | 391 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 17 | Tackles | 12 |
| 2 | Saves | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: James Pantemis (Portland Timbers), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.
Austin
- Jorge Alastuey 7.7
- Brandon Vazquez 7.3
- Guilherme Biro 7.3
- Myrto Uzuni 7.0
- Ervin Torres 7.0
Portland Timbers
- James Pantemis 8.4
- Ian Smith 7.2 1 assist
- Vincent Janssen 7.2 1 assist
- Kristoffer Velde 7.2 1 goal
- Ariel Lassiter 7.2 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Brad Stuver at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Portland Timbers: Dallas vs Portland Timbers Saturday 21 November 2026 · MLS
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Austin vs Portland Timbers
What was the score in Austin vs Portland Timbers?
Austin 0-2 Portland Timbers (half-time 0-1), MLS, Sunday 8 November 2026.
Who scored in Austin vs Portland Timbers?
Ariel Lassiter 3', Kristoffer Velde 70'.
Did Moneyball predict Austin vs Portland Timbers correctly?
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Portland Timbers win the most likely outcome at 48%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-2 rather than 0-2.
Who was man of the match in Austin vs Portland Timbers?
James Pantemis, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Austin vs Portland Timbers?
V. Rivas.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.