Austin 1-2 Real Salt Lake: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Real Salt Lake won it

The opening goal came in the 52nd minute: Jorge Alastuey for Austin. Real Salt Lake levelled at 1-1 in the 55th minute through Saba Lobjanidze, set up by Juan Manuel Sanabria. Real Salt Lake turned it round: Morgan Guilavogui made it 1-2 in the 61st minute, set up by Sergi Solans.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, R. Montero, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Austin and 1 to Real Salt Lake.

Austin: D. Arnaud, 3-4-3 · Real Salt Lake: P. Mastroeni, 3-4-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00. On 1-2 it landed exactly on the line: neither right nor wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Real Salt Lake win at 41%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Real Salt Lake win at 38%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-28, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.05 for Austin and 0.91 for Real Salt Lake.

Austin scored about 1.0 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Real Salt Lake made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.1 goals.

Austin created the better chances, 2.05 xG to 0.91, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Real Salt Lake to create more, and Austin did.

Austin had 5 shots on target, Real Salt Lake 4.

Real Salt Lake had 52% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Austin came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.92 against, and had won 24% of their matches.

Real Salt Lake came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.50 expected goals for and 1.49 against, and had won 38% of their matches.

Austin vs Real Salt Lake: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jorge Alastuey (Austin), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Austin

• Jorge Alastuey 8.3 1 goal
• Facundo Torres 7.7
• Myrto Uzuni 7.0
• Brandon Vazquez 6.9
• Ilie Sánchez 6.9

Real Salt Lake

• Morgan Guilavogui 8.1 1 goal
• Juan Manuel Sanabria 7.6 1 assist
• Saba Lobjanidze 7.2 1 goal
• Luc De Fougerolles 7.2
• Rafael Cabral 7.2

The lowest-rated starter was Damian Las at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Real Salt Lake: Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake Friday 20 November 2026 · MLS

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Austin vs Real Salt Lake

What was the score in Austin vs Real Salt Lake?

Austin 1-2 Real Salt Lake (half-time 0-0), MLS, Thursday 29 October 2026.

Who scored in Austin vs Real Salt Lake?

Jorge Alastuey 52', Saba Lobjanidze 55', Morgan Guilavogui 61'.

Did Moneyball predict Austin vs Real Salt Lake correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00. On 1-2 it landed exactly on the line: neither right nor wrong.

Who was man of the match in Austin vs Real Salt Lake?

Jorge Alastuey, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Austin vs Real Salt Lake?

R. Montero.